Atalanta at Salernitana

Updated

Atalanta

61.0%21.1%17.8%
Atalanta WinDrawWin
2.00Projected Goals 0.98
0Final Score 1

Salernitana

Last 5 Games

Atalanta
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Juventus+140
W 2-3 vs Spezia-280
W 2-1 at Torino+135
W 1-3 vs Roma+140
T 1-1 at Fiorentina+205
Salernitana
Money Line
L 1-2 at Empoli+300
T 3-3 vs Fiorentina+340
T 1-1 at Napoli+1225
W 0-3 vs Sassuolo+210
T 1-1 at Torino+515

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atalanta-144-139-150-144-139-144-139-132.6
Salernitana+393+368+370+400+391+400+400+417.6
Draw+306+308+320+308+310+308+320+322.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atalanta-145----190-165-165-132.6
Salernitana+385---+375+435+435+417.6
Draw+300---+280+315+315+322.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Salernitana: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atalanta: 10.0%
Salernitana: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atalanta: 0.0%
Salernitana: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atalanta ML moved from -150 to -157
Salernitana ML moved from +397 to +391

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Salernitana: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atalanta: 0.0%
Salernitana: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atalanta: 0.0%
Salernitana: 50.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atalanta ML moved from -175 to -190
Salernitana ML moved from +355 to +340

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o3+113o2¾-118o2¾-118o3+118o2¾-118o3+118o2¾-107
Underu2½+115u3-133u2¾-102u2¾-102u3-133u2¾-102u3-133u2¾+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o2½-145--o3+105o3+110o2½-145o2¾-107
Underu2½+115u2½+125--u3-135u3-130u3-130u2¾+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-124 to o2¾-117
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-140 to o3+105
The Under moved from u2½+120 to u2½-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.0%
 
No46.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.08%
Exactly 222.56%
Exactly 416.69%
Exactly 64.94%
Exactly 80.78%
 
Exactly 115.14%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.94%
Exactly 72.10%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Atalanta
Exactly 013.54%
Exactly 127.07%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 318.04%
Exactly 49.02%
Exactly 53.61%
Exactly 61.20%
Exactly 70.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Salernitana
Exactly 037.53%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.02%
Exactly 35.89%
Exactly 41.44%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.17%
Exactly 223.95%
Exactly 43.80%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.72%
Exactly 311.01%
Exactly 51.05%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atalanta
Exactly 039.62%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 216.98%
Exactly 35.24%
Exactly 41.21%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Salernitana
Exactly 063.52%
Exactly 128.82%
Exactly 26.54%
Exactly 30.99%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atalanta
Wins by 2+ goals36.98%
Wins by 3+ goals18.33%
Wins by 4+ goals7.51%
Wins by 5+ goals2.56%
Salernitana
Wins by 2+ goals6.05%
Wins by 3+ goals1.57%
Wins by 4+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Atalanta
Salernitana
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Atalanta
Wins by 1 goal23.95%
Wins by 2 goals18.65%
Wins by 3 goals10.81%
Wins by 4 goals4.95%
Wins by 5 goals1.86%
Salernitana
Wins by 1 goal11.74%
Wins by 2 goals4.48%
Wins by 3 goals1.26%
Wins by 4 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.92%5.08%
1.579.78%20.22%
2.557.22%42.78%
3.534.82%65.18%
4.518.13%81.87%
5.58.19%91.81%
6.53.25%96.75%
7.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Atalanta Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.46%13.54%
1.559.39%40.61%
2.532.32%67.68%
3.514.28%85.72%
4.55.26%94.74%
5.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals Salernitana Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.47%37.53%
1.525.69%74.31%
2.57.67%92.33%
3.51.78%98.22%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.83%25.17%
1.540.11%59.89%
2.516.16%83.84%
3.55.14%94.86%
4.51.35%98.65%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atalanta
Salernitana
Score01234
0
5.08%
4.98%
2.44%
0.80%
0.20%
1
10.16%
9.96%
4.88%
1.59%
0.39%
2
10.16%
9.96%
4.88%
1.59%
0.39%
3
6.77%
6.64%
3.25%
1.06%
0.26%
4
3.38%
3.32%
1.63%
0.53%
0.13%
5
1.35%
1.33%
0.65%
0.21%
0.05%
Atalanta
1-010.16%
2-010.16%
2-19.96%
3-06.77%
3-16.64%
3-23.25%
4-03.38%
4-13.32%
4-21.63%
4-30.53%
5-01.35%
5-11.33%
5-20.65%
5-30.21%
Draw
0-05.08%
1-19.96%
2-24.88%
3-31.06%
4-40.13%
Salernitana
0-14.98%
0-22.44%
1-24.88%
0-30.80%
1-31.59%
2-31.59%
0-40.20%
1-40.39%
2-40.39%
3-40.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Atalanta
Salernitana
Score0123
0
25.17%
11.42%
2.59%
0.39%
1
23.30%
10.57%
2.40%
0.36%
2
10.79%
4.89%
1.11%
0.17%
3
3.33%
1.51%
0.34%
0.05%
4
0.77%
0.35%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.14%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Atalanta
1-023.30%
2-010.79%
2-14.89%
3-03.33%
3-11.51%
3-20.34%
4-00.77%
4-10.35%
5-00.14%
Draw
0-025.17%
1-110.57%
2-21.11%
Salernitana
0-111.42%
0-22.59%
1-22.40%
0-30.39%
1-30.36%
2-30.17%