Lecce at Napoli

Updated

Lecce

8.7%14.1%77.2%
WinDrawNapoli Win
0.82Projected Goals 2.71
1Final Score 2

Napoli

Last 5 Games

Lecce
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Cremonese+121
L 1-3 at Como+855
L 2-0 vs Inter+675
W 2-0 at Cagliari+246
W 1-2 vs Udinese+190
Napoli
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Torino-175
W 2-1 at Hellas Verona-160
L 1-2 at Atalanta+222
T 2-2 vs Roma+155
W 3-2 at Genoa+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lecce+900+800+750+860+860+860+860+893.4
Napoli-270-222-235-243-243-243-222-217.1
Draw+387+330+325+350+350+350+350+365.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lecce+925-+825--+825+825+893.4
Napoli-305--250---240-240-217.1
Draw+400-+335--+325+335+365.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lecce: 0.0%
Napoli: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lecce: 0.0%
Napoli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lecce ML moved from +775 to +750
Napoli ML moved from -217 to -227

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lecce: 0.0%
Napoli: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lecce: 0.0%
Napoli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lecce ML moved from +850 to +825
No Steam Moves On Napoli ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-101o2¼-106o2¼-112o2¼-120o2¼-120o2¼-120o2¼-106o2¼-109
Underu2¼-119u2¼-104u2¼-108u2¼+100u2¼+100u2¼+100u2¼+100u2¼+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+120o2½+115o2½+115--o2½+110o2½+115o2¼-109
Underu2½-140u2½-135u2½-135--u2½-130u2½-130u2¼+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-135 to o2½+115
The Under moved from u2½-130 to u2+115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.1%
 
No47.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.94%
Exactly 218.28%
Exactly 418.95%
Exactly 67.86%
Exactly 81.75%
Exactly 100.24%
 
Exactly 110.37%
Exactly 321.49%
Exactly 513.37%
Exactly 73.96%
Exactly 90.68%
Exact Goals Scored - Lecce
Exactly 044.22%
Exactly 136.08%
Exactly 214.72%
Exactly 34.00%
Exactly 40.82%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 06.65%
Exactly 118.02%
Exactly 224.43%
Exactly 322.07%
Exactly 414.96%
Exactly 58.11%
Exactly 63.66%
Exactly 71.42%
Exactly 80.48%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.53%
Exactly 226.05%
Exactly 45.79%
Exactly 60.51%
 
Exactly 131.90%
Exactly 314.18%
Exactly 51.89%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lecce
Exactly 068.53%
Exactly 125.89%
Exactly 24.89%
Exactly 30.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 028.50%
Exactly 135.78%
Exactly 222.45%
Exactly 39.39%
Exactly 42.95%
Exactly 50.74%
Exactly 60.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Lecce
Wins by 2+ goals2.46%
Wins by 3+ goals0.53%
Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals56.48%
Wins by 3+ goals35.15%
Wins by 4+ goals18.64%
Wins by 5+ goals8.50%
Wins by 6+ goals3.36%
Wins by 7+ goals1.15%
Wins by 8+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Lecce
Napoli
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Lecce
Wins by 1 goal6.23%
Wins by 2 goals1.93%
Wins by 3 goals0.45%
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal20.70%
Wins by 2 goals21.32%
Wins by 3 goals16.51%
Wins by 4 goals10.14%
Wins by 5 goals5.14%
Wins by 6 goals2.21%
Wins by 7 goals0.82%
Wins by 8 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.06%2.94%
1.586.69%13.31%
2.568.41%31.59%
3.546.92%53.08%
4.527.97%72.03%
5.514.60%85.40%
6.56.74%93.26%
7.52.78%97.22%
8.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Lecce Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.78%44.22%
1.519.70%80.30%
2.54.98%95.02%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.35%6.65%
1.575.33%24.67%
2.550.91%49.09%
3.528.83%71.17%
4.513.87%86.13%
5.55.76%94.24%
6.52.10%97.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.47%19.53%
1.548.57%51.43%
2.522.52%77.48%
3.58.34%91.66%
4.52.55%97.45%

Score Props

Correct Score

Lecce
Napoli
Score012345
0
2.94%
7.97%
10.80%
9.76%
6.61%
3.59%
1
2.40%
6.50%
8.81%
7.96%
5.40%
2.93%
2
0.98%
2.65%
3.60%
3.25%
2.20%
1.19%
3
0.27%
0.72%
0.98%
0.88%
0.60%
0.32%
Lecce
1-02.40%
2-00.98%
2-12.65%
3-00.27%
3-10.72%
3-20.98%
Draw
0-02.94%
1-16.50%
2-23.60%
3-30.88%
4-40.12%
Napoli
0-17.97%
0-210.80%
1-28.81%
0-39.76%
1-37.96%
2-33.25%
0-46.61%
1-45.40%
2-42.20%
3-40.60%
0-53.59%
1-52.93%
2-51.19%
3-50.32%

Correct Score - First Half

Lecce
Napoli
Score0123456
0
19.53%
24.52%
15.39%
6.44%
2.02%
0.51%
0.11%
1
7.38%
9.26%
5.81%
2.43%
0.76%
0.19%
0.04%
2
1.39%
1.75%
1.10%
0.46%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
3
0.18%
0.22%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Lecce
1-07.38%
2-01.39%
2-11.75%
3-00.18%
3-10.22%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-019.53%
1-19.26%
2-21.10%
Napoli
0-124.52%
0-215.39%
1-25.81%
0-36.44%
1-32.43%
2-30.46%
0-42.02%
1-40.76%
2-40.14%
0-50.51%
1-50.19%
0-60.11%