Lecce at Fiorentina

Updated

Lecce

12.2%17.6%70.2%
WinDrawFiorentina Win
0.86Projected Goals 2.33
0Final Score 1

Fiorentina

Last 5 Games

Lecce
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Torino+190
L 0-2 at Inter+750
L 1-0 vs Sassuolo+150
W 2-1 at Atalanta+625
T 1-1 vs Roma+325
Fiorentina
Money Line
W 2-0 at Cremonese-130
W 1-2 vs Milan+165
W 3-0 at Hellas Verona+120
T 1-1 vs Empoli-155
L 0-1 at Juventus+400

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lecce+475+546+500+555+566+555+566+578.0
Fiorentina-165-164-165-165-165-165-164-151.0
Draw+300+279+285+285+289+285+289+298.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lecce+475---+430+510+510+578.0
Fiorentina-160----190-165-165-151.0
Draw+285---+255+280+280+298.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lecce: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lecce: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lecce ML moved from +565 to +555
Fiorentina ML moved from -155 to -165

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lecce: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lecce: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lecce ML moved from +450 to +430
Fiorentina ML moved from -155 to -165

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118o2½+111o2¼-108o2¼-106o2½+127o2¼-106o2¼-106o2¼+104
Underu2¼-102u2½-131u2¼-112u2¼-114u2½-142u2¼-114u2½-131u2¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+105o2½+110--o2½+105o2½+105o2½+110o2¼+104
Underu2½-125u2½-130--u2½-135u2½-125u2½-125u2¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-115 to o2½-102
The Under moved from u2½-114 to u2¼+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.2%
 
No47.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.11%
Exactly 220.93%
Exactly 417.78%
Exactly 66.04%
Exactly 81.10%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.11%
Exactly 322.27%
Exactly 511.35%
Exactly 72.75%
Exactly 90.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Lecce
Exactly 042.19%
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 215.71%
Exactly 34.52%
Exactly 40.97%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Fiorentina
Exactly 09.73%
Exactly 122.68%
Exactly 226.41%
Exactly 320.51%
Exactly 411.94%
Exactly 55.56%
Exactly 62.16%
Exactly 70.72%
Exactly 80.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.81%
Exactly 224.91%
Exactly 44.54%
Exactly 60.33%
 
Exactly 133.71%
Exactly 312.28%
Exactly 51.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lecce
Exactly 067.06%
Exactly 126.79%
Exactly 25.35%
Exactly 30.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fiorentina
Exactly 034.01%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.78%
Exactly 37.11%
Exactly 41.92%
Exactly 50.41%

Alternate Props

Spread

Lecce
Wins by 2+ goals3.70%
Wins by 3+ goals0.85%
Fiorentina
Wins by 2+ goals47.11%
Wins by 3+ goals26.35%
Wins by 4+ goals12.37%
Wins by 5+ goals4.93%
Wins by 6+ goals1.67%
Wins by 7+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

Lecce
Fiorentina
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Lecce
Wins by 1 goal8.52%
Wins by 2 goals2.85%
Wins by 3 goals0.71%
Fiorentina
Wins by 1 goal23.00%
Wins by 2 goals20.76%
Wins by 3 goals13.98%
Wins by 4 goals7.44%
Wins by 5 goals3.26%
Wins by 6 goals1.21%
Wins by 7 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.89%4.11%
1.582.78%17.22%
2.561.85%38.15%
3.539.58%60.42%
4.521.80%78.20%
5.510.45%89.55%
6.54.42%95.58%
7.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals Lecce Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.81%42.19%
1.521.40%78.60%
2.55.69%94.31%
3.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals Fiorentina Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.27%9.73%
1.567.59%32.41%
2.541.18%58.82%
3.520.67%79.33%
4.58.72%91.28%
5.53.16%96.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.19%22.81%
1.543.48%56.52%
2.518.57%81.43%
3.56.29%93.71%
4.51.76%98.24%

Score Props

Correct Score

Lecce
Fiorentina
Score012345
0
4.11%
9.57%
11.14%
8.65%
5.04%
2.35%
1
3.54%
8.26%
9.62%
7.47%
4.35%
2.03%
2
1.53%
3.56%
4.15%
3.22%
1.88%
0.87%
3
0.44%
1.02%
1.19%
0.93%
0.54%
0.25%
Lecce
1-03.54%
2-01.53%
2-13.56%
3-00.44%
3-11.02%
3-21.19%
Draw
0-04.11%
1-18.26%
2-24.15%
3-30.93%
4-40.12%
Fiorentina
0-19.57%
0-211.14%
1-29.62%
0-38.65%
1-37.47%
2-33.22%
0-45.04%
1-44.35%
2-41.88%
3-40.54%
0-52.35%
1-52.03%
2-50.87%
3-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Lecce
Fiorentina
Score012345
0
22.81%
24.60%
13.27%
4.77%
1.29%
0.28%
1
9.11%
9.83%
5.30%
1.91%
0.51%
0.11%
2
1.82%
1.96%
1.06%
0.38%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.24%
0.26%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Lecce
1-09.11%
2-01.82%
2-11.96%
3-00.24%
3-10.26%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-022.81%
1-19.83%
2-21.06%
Fiorentina
0-124.60%
0-213.27%
1-25.30%
0-34.77%
1-31.91%
2-30.38%
0-41.29%
1-40.51%
2-40.10%
0-50.28%
1-50.11%