Monza at Milan

Updated

Monza

7.9%14.6%77.5%
WinDrawMilan Win
0.68Projected Goals 2.53
1Final Score 4

Milan

Last 5 Games

Monza
Money Line
L 0-1 at Empoli+170
W 0-2 vs Spezia-115
W 3-0 at Sampdoria+205
W 0-1 vs Juventus+325
T 1-1 at Lecce+215
Milan
Money Line
W 2-1 at Hellas Verona-190
W 0-2 vs Juventus+110
W 3-1 at Empoli-175
L 2-1 vs Napoli+130
W 2-1 at Sampdoria-200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Monza+650-+525+625-+625+625-
Milan-260--200-205--205-200-
Draw+390-+330+345-+345+345-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Monza+670---+630+650+650-
Milan-260----320-250-250-
Draw+400---+335+390+390-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Monza: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Monza: 0.0%
Milan: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Monza: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Monza ML moved from +525 to +500
Milan ML moved from -230 to -240

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Monza: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Monza: 0.0%
Milan: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Monza: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Monza ML moved from +700 to +650
Milan ML moved from -260 to -270

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+102-o2¾-108o2¾-105-o2¾-105o2¾-105-
Underu3-122-u2¾-112u2¾-115-u2¾-115u2¾-112-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3+115--o3+105o3+115o3+115-
Underu3-120u3-135--u3-135u3-135u3-135-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.6%
 
No54.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.02%
Exactly 220.77%
Exactly 417.87%
Exactly 66.15%
Exactly 81.13%
Exactly 100.13%
 
Exactly 112.93%
Exactly 322.24%
Exactly 511.48%
Exactly 72.82%
Exactly 90.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Monza
Exactly 050.50%
Exactly 134.50%
Exactly 211.78%
Exactly 32.68%
Exactly 40.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 07.97%
Exactly 120.15%
Exactly 225.49%
Exactly 321.50%
Exactly 413.60%
Exactly 56.88%
Exactly 62.90%
Exactly 71.05%
Exactly 80.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.59%
Exactly 225.00%
Exactly 44.61%
Exactly 60.34%
 
Exactly 133.61%
Exactly 312.40%
Exactly 51.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Monza
Exactly 072.88%
Exactly 123.05%
Exactly 23.65%
Exactly 30.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 030.99%
Exactly 136.31%
Exactly 221.26%
Exactly 38.30%
Exactly 42.43%
Exactly 50.57%
Exactly 60.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Monza
Wins by 2+ goals1.94%
Wins by 3+ goals0.34%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals55.44%
Wins by 3+ goals33.34%
Wins by 4+ goals16.90%
Wins by 5+ goals7.29%
Wins by 6+ goals2.68%
Wins by 7+ goals0.81%
Wins by 8+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Monza
Milan
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Monza
Wins by 1 goal5.91%
Wins by 2 goals1.60%
Wins by 3 goals0.31%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal21.90%
Wins by 2 goals22.09%
Wins by 3 goals16.44%
Wins by 4 goals9.61%
Wins by 5 goals4.61%
Wins by 6 goals1.87%
Wins by 7 goals0.64%
Wins by 8 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.98%4.02%
1.583.05%16.95%
2.562.28%37.72%
3.540.04%59.96%
4.522.17%77.83%
5.510.69%89.31%
6.54.54%95.46%
7.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals Monza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.549.50%50.50%
1.515.00%85.00%
2.53.21%96.79%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.03%7.97%
1.571.88%28.12%
2.546.38%53.62%
3.524.88%75.12%
4.511.29%88.71%
5.54.40%95.60%
6.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.41%22.59%
1.543.80%56.20%
2.518.81%81.19%
3.56.41%93.59%
4.51.80%98.20%

Score Props

Correct Score

Monza
Milan
Score012345
0
4.02%
10.18%
12.88%
10.86%
6.87%
3.47%
1
2.75%
6.95%
8.80%
7.42%
4.69%
2.37%
2
0.94%
2.38%
3.00%
2.53%
1.60%
0.81%
3
0.21%
0.54%
0.68%
0.58%
0.36%
0.18%
Monza
1-02.75%
2-00.94%
2-12.38%
3-00.21%
3-10.54%
3-20.68%
Draw
0-04.02%
1-16.95%
2-23.00%
3-30.58%
Milan
0-110.18%
0-212.88%
1-28.80%
0-310.86%
1-37.42%
2-32.53%
0-46.87%
1-44.69%
2-41.60%
3-40.36%
0-53.47%
1-52.37%
2-50.81%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Monza
Milan
Score012345
0
22.59%
26.46%
15.50%
6.05%
1.77%
0.42%
1
7.15%
8.37%
4.90%
1.91%
0.56%
0.13%
2
1.13%
1.32%
0.78%
0.30%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.12%
0.14%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Monza
1-07.15%
2-01.13%
2-11.32%
3-00.12%
3-10.14%
Draw
0-022.59%
1-18.37%
2-20.78%
Milan
0-126.46%
0-215.50%
1-24.90%
0-36.05%
1-31.91%
2-30.30%
0-41.77%
1-40.56%
0-50.42%
1-50.13%