Lecce at Parma

Updated

Lecce

23.1%24.5%52.3%
Lecce WinDrawParma Win
1.01Projected Goals 1.65
3Final Score 1

Parma

Last 5 Games

Lecce
Money Line
L 4-0 vs Inter+950
L 1-4 at Cagliari+365
W 3-1 at Empoli+360
T 0-0 vs Genoa+190
L 0-2 at Como+475
Parma
Money Line
L 2-3 at Milan+900
T 1-1 vs Venezia+120
L 0-1 at Genoa+326
T 0-0 at Torino+390
W 1-2 vs Monza+162

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lecce+260+213+195+208+202+208+213+218.6
Parma+105+144+145+150+145+150+150+158.6
Draw+255+222+225+223+217+223+225+234.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lecce+245-+200-+220+200+220+218.6
Parma+115-+140-+100+140+140+158.6
Draw+240-+225-+220+230+230+234.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Parma: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lecce: 0.0%
Parma: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Lecce: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lecce: 0.0%
Parma: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lecce ML moved from +210 to +200
Parma ML moved from +115 to +108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Parma: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lecce: 0.0%
Parma: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Lecce: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lecce: 10.0%
Parma: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lecce ML moved from +230 to +200
No Steam Moves On Parma ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-112o2½+100o2½+100o2½-106o2½-107o2½-106o2½+100o2½+104
Underu2½-108u2½-117u2½-120u2½-114u2½-113u2½-114u2½-113u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-110o2½-105-o2½-120o2½-105o2½-105o2½+104
Underu2½-105u2½-110u2½-115-u2½-110u2½-115u2½-110u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-115 to o2¾-102
The Under moved from u2¾-115 to u2½-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.4%
 
No48.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.98%
Exactly 224.73%
Exactly 414.61%
Exactly 63.45%
Exactly 80.44%
 
Exactly 118.58%
Exactly 321.95%
Exactly 57.78%
Exactly 71.31%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Lecce
Exactly 036.38%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.60%
Exactly 36.27%
Exactly 41.58%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Parma
Exactly 019.18%
Exactly 131.67%
Exactly 226.15%
Exactly 314.40%
Exactly 45.94%
Exactly 51.96%
Exactly 60.54%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.15%
Exactly 222.15%
Exactly 42.80%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.93%
Exactly 39.10%
Exactly 50.69%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lecce
Exactly 062.62%
Exactly 129.31%
Exactly 26.86%
Exactly 31.07%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Parma
Exactly 046.55%
Exactly 135.59%
Exactly 213.61%
Exactly 33.47%
Exactly 40.66%
Exactly 50.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Lecce
Wins by 2+ goals8.27%
Wins by 3+ goals2.25%
Wins by 4+ goals0.47%
Parma
Wins by 2+ goals28.09%
Wins by 3+ goals12.04%
Wins by 4+ goals4.22%
Wins by 5+ goals1.23%
Wins by 6+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Lecce
Parma
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Lecce
Wins by 1 goal14.83%
Wins by 2 goals6.01%
Wins by 3 goals1.79%
Wins by 4 goals0.41%
Parma
Wins by 1 goal24.22%
Wins by 2 goals16.05%
Wins by 3 goals7.82%
Wins by 4 goals2.99%
Wins by 5 goals0.94%
Wins by 6 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.02%6.98%
1.574.45%25.55%
2.549.71%50.29%
3.527.77%72.23%
4.513.16%86.84%
5.55.38%94.62%
6.51.92%98.08%

Total Goals Lecce Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.62%36.38%
1.526.83%73.17%
2.58.23%91.77%
3.51.97%98.03%

Total Goals Parma Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.82%19.18%
1.549.15%50.85%
2.523.00%77.00%
3.58.61%91.39%
4.52.66%97.34%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.85%29.15%
1.534.92%65.08%
2.512.77%87.23%
3.53.67%96.33%

Score Props

Correct Score

Lecce
Parma
Score012345
0
6.98%
11.52%
9.51%
5.24%
2.16%
0.71%
1
7.05%
11.65%
9.62%
5.30%
2.19%
0.72%
2
3.57%
5.89%
4.86%
2.68%
1.11%
0.37%
3
1.20%
1.98%
1.64%
0.90%
0.37%
0.12%
4
0.30%
0.50%
0.41%
0.23%
0.09%
0.03%
Lecce
1-07.05%
2-03.57%
2-15.89%
3-01.20%
3-11.98%
3-21.64%
4-00.30%
4-10.50%
4-20.41%
4-30.23%
Draw
0-06.98%
1-111.65%
2-24.86%
3-30.90%
Parma
0-111.52%
0-29.51%
1-29.62%
0-35.24%
1-35.30%
2-32.68%
0-42.16%
1-42.19%
2-41.11%
3-40.37%
0-50.71%
1-50.72%
2-50.37%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Lecce
Parma
Score01234
0
29.15%
22.29%
8.52%
2.17%
0.42%
1
13.65%
10.43%
3.99%
1.02%
0.19%
2
3.19%
2.44%
0.93%
0.24%
0.05%
3
0.50%
0.38%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
Lecce
1-013.65%
2-03.19%
2-12.44%
3-00.50%
3-10.38%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-029.15%
1-110.43%
2-20.93%
Parma
0-122.29%
0-28.52%
1-23.99%
0-32.17%
1-31.02%
2-30.24%
0-40.42%
1-40.19%
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