Atalanta at Spezia

Updated

Atalanta

70.5%16.8%12.6%
Atalanta WinDrawWin
2.47Projected Goals 0.96
3Final Score 1

Spezia

Last 5 Games

Atalanta
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Salernitana-350
T 4-4 vs Torino-205
W 3-1 at Venezia-205
L 2-1 vs Hellas Verona-155
L 1-2 at Sassuolo+120
Spezia
Money Line
L 4-3 vs Lazio+550
L 1-2 at Torino+470
L 3-1 vs Inter+945
T 0-0 at Empoli+295
W 0-1 vs Venezia+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atalanta-185-235-220-208-232-220-208-195.2
Spezia+450+550+575+595+547+575+595+608.9
Draw+330+390+385+388+395+385+395+405.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atalanta-225----245-225-225-195.2
Spezia+575---+500+575+575+608.9
Draw+375---+300+375+375+405.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Spezia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atalanta: 10.0%
Spezia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atalanta: 0.0%
Spezia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atalanta ML moved from -200 to -220
Spezia ML moved from +550 to +525

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Spezia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atalanta: 10.0%
Spezia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atalanta: 0.0%
Spezia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atalanta ML
No Steam Moves On Spezia ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-102o3¼-102o3¼-104o3-125-o3¼-104o3-125o3-119
Underu3-118u3¼-118u3¼-116u3+110-u3¼-116u3¼-116u3+119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120o3-120--o3-120o3-125o3-120o3-119
Underu3+100u3+100--u3-110u3+105u3+105u3+119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.4%
 
No43.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.24%
Exactly 219.06%
Exactly 418.67%
Exactly 67.32%
Exactly 81.54%
Exactly 100.20%
 
Exactly 111.12%
Exactly 321.79%
Exactly 512.80%
Exactly 73.58%
Exactly 90.59%
Exact Goals Scored - Atalanta
Exactly 08.44%
Exactly 120.87%
Exactly 225.79%
Exactly 321.25%
Exactly 413.14%
Exactly 56.49%
Exactly 62.68%
Exactly 70.95%
Exactly 80.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Spezia
Exactly 038.43%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.57%
Exactly 35.60%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.45%
Exactly 225.76%
Exactly 45.41%
Exactly 60.45%
 
Exactly 132.46%
Exactly 313.63%
Exactly 51.72%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atalanta
Exactly 031.83%
Exactly 136.44%
Exactly 220.85%
Exactly 37.96%
Exactly 42.28%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Spezia
Exactly 064.23%
Exactly 128.44%
Exactly 26.30%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atalanta
Wins by 2+ goals48.37%
Wins by 3+ goals27.93%
Wins by 4+ goals13.63%
Wins by 5+ goals5.67%
Spezia
Wins by 2+ goals4.06%
Wins by 3+ goals1.01%
Wins by 4+ goals0.19%

Exact Winning Margin

Atalanta
Spezia
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Atalanta
Wins by 1 goal22.06%
Wins by 2 goals20.43%
Wins by 3 goals14.30%
Wins by 4 goals7.96%
Wins by 5 goals3.66%
Spezia
Wins by 1 goal8.53%
Wins by 2 goals3.05%
Wins by 3 goals0.82%
Wins by 4 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.76%3.24%
1.585.64%14.36%
2.566.57%33.43%
3.544.79%55.21%
4.526.11%73.89%
5.513.31%86.69%
6.55.99%94.01%
7.52.41%97.59%

Total Goals Atalanta Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.56%8.44%
1.570.69%29.31%
2.544.90%55.10%
3.523.65%76.35%
4.510.51%89.49%
5.54.02%95.98%
6.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals Spezia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.57%38.43%
1.524.82%75.18%
2.57.24%92.76%
3.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.55%20.45%
1.547.10%52.90%
2.521.34%78.66%
3.57.71%92.29%
4.52.30%97.70%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atalanta
Spezia
Score01234
0
3.24%
3.10%
1.48%
0.47%
0.11%
1
8.02%
7.67%
3.67%
1.17%
0.28%
2
9.91%
9.48%
4.53%
1.44%
0.35%
3
8.17%
7.81%
3.73%
1.19%
0.28%
4
5.05%
4.83%
2.31%
0.74%
0.18%
5
2.50%
2.39%
1.14%
0.36%
0.09%
Atalanta
1-08.02%
2-09.91%
2-19.48%
3-08.17%
3-17.81%
3-23.73%
4-05.05%
4-14.83%
4-22.31%
4-30.74%
5-02.50%
5-12.39%
5-21.14%
5-30.36%
Draw
0-03.24%
1-17.67%
2-24.53%
3-31.19%
4-40.18%
Spezia
0-13.10%
0-21.48%
1-23.67%
0-30.47%
1-31.17%
2-31.44%
0-40.11%
1-40.28%
2-40.35%
3-40.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Atalanta
Spezia
Score0123
0
20.45%
9.05%
2.00%
0.30%
1
23.40%
10.36%
2.29%
0.34%
2
13.39%
5.93%
1.31%
0.19%
3
5.11%
2.26%
0.50%
0.07%
4
1.46%
0.65%
0.14%
0.02%
5
0.33%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
Atalanta
1-023.40%
2-013.39%
2-15.93%
3-05.11%
3-12.26%
3-20.50%
4-01.46%
4-10.65%
4-20.14%
5-00.33%
5-10.15%
Draw
0-020.45%
1-110.36%
2-21.31%
Spezia
0-19.05%
0-22.00%
1-22.29%
0-30.30%
1-30.34%
2-30.19%