Salernitana at Milan

Updated

Salernitana

7.3%5.3%87.4%
WinDrawMilan Win
0.29Projected Goals 3.49
0Final Score 2

Milan

Last 5 Games

Salernitana
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Juventus+900
T 1-1 at Cagliari+375
L 2-0 vs Sampdoria+195
L 0-3 at Lazio+950
L 1-0 vs Napoli+900
Milan
Money Line
W 3-0 at Genoa-180
L 3-1 vs Sassuolo-225
L 3-4 at Fiorentina+150
T 1-1 vs Inter+245
W 2-1 at Roma+205

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Salernitana+1083+900+1350+1261+1085+1350+1350+1335.4
Milan-441-375-420-402-438-420-375-355.1
Draw+523+475+535+568+519+535+568+566.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Salernitana+1300----+1200+1200+1335.4
Milan-500-----475-475-355.1
Draw+600----+570+570+566.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Salernitana: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Salernitana: 0.0%
Milan: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Salernitana: 10.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Salernitana ML moved from +1000 to +900
Milan ML moved from -410 to -420

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Salernitana: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Salernitana: 0.0%
Milan: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Salernitana: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Salernitana ML moved from +1350 to +1200
Milan ML moved from -500 to -525

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o3-122o3-112o3-109-o3-112o3-109o3-102
Underu3-105u3+102u3-108u3-106-u3-108u3+102u3+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-125o3-125--o3-130o3-125o3-125o3-102
Underu3-105u3+105--u3+100u3+105u3+105u3+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes24.6%
 
No75.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.27%
Exactly 216.27%
Exactly 419.42%
Exactly 69.27%
Exactly 82.37%
Exactly 100.38%
 
Exactly 18.60%
Exactly 320.53%
Exactly 514.70%
Exactly 75.01%
Exactly 91.00%
Exactly 110.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Salernitana
Exactly 074.61%
Exactly 121.86%
Exactly 23.20%
Exactly 30.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 03.05%
Exactly 110.64%
Exactly 218.57%
Exactly 321.61%
Exactly 418.86%
Exactly 513.17%
Exactly 67.66%
Exactly 73.82%
Exactly 81.67%
Exactly 90.65%
Exactly 100.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 017.34%
Exactly 226.62%
Exactly 46.81%
Exactly 60.70%
 
Exactly 130.38%
Exactly 315.55%
Exactly 52.39%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Salernitana
Exactly 087.32%
Exactly 111.84%
Exactly 20.80%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 019.86%
Exactly 132.10%
Exactly 225.95%
Exactly 313.98%
Exactly 45.65%
Exactly 51.83%
Exactly 60.49%
Exactly 70.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Salernitana
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals80.67%
Wins by 3+ goals61.45%
Wins by 4+ goals40.77%
Wins by 5+ goals23.56%
Wins by 6+ goals11.94%
Wins by 7+ goals5.33%
Wins by 8+ goals2.09%
Wins by 9+ goals0.70%
Wins by 10+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Salernitana
Milan
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Salernitana
Wins by 1 goal1.06%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal12.74%
Wins by 2 goals19.22%
Wins by 3 goals20.69%
Wins by 4 goals17.20%
Wins by 5 goals11.63%
Wins by 6 goals6.61%
Wins by 7 goals3.24%
Wins by 8 goals1.39%
Wins by 9 goals0.53%
Wins by 10 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.73%2.27%
1.589.13%10.87%
2.572.85%27.15%
3.552.33%47.67%
4.532.91%67.09%
5.518.21%81.79%
6.58.94%91.06%
7.53.93%96.07%
8.51.56%98.44%

Total Goals Salernitana Over/Under

OverUnder
0.525.39%74.61%
1.53.54%96.46%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.95%3.05%
1.586.32%13.68%
2.567.75%32.25%
3.546.15%53.85%
4.527.29%72.71%
5.514.12%85.88%
6.56.46%93.54%
7.52.64%97.36%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.66%17.34%
1.552.28%47.72%
2.525.66%74.34%
3.510.11%89.89%
4.53.30%96.70%

Score Props

Correct Score

Salernitana
Milan
Score01234
0
2.27%
7.93%
13.85%
16.12%
14.07%
1
0.67%
2.32%
4.06%
4.72%
4.12%
Salernitana
1-00.67%
Draw
0-02.27%
1-12.32%
2-20.59%
Milan
0-17.93%
0-213.85%
1-24.06%
0-316.12%
1-34.72%
2-30.69%
0-414.07%
1-44.12%
2-40.60%

Correct Score - First Half

Salernitana
Milan
Score0123456
0
17.34%
28.03%
22.66%
12.21%
4.93%
1.59%
0.43%
1
2.35%
3.80%
3.07%
1.66%
0.67%
0.22%
0.06%
2
0.16%
0.26%
0.21%
0.11%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Salernitana
1-02.35%
2-00.16%
2-10.26%
Draw
0-017.34%
1-13.80%
2-20.21%
Milan
0-128.03%
0-222.66%
1-23.07%
0-312.21%
1-31.66%
2-30.11%
0-44.93%
1-40.67%
0-51.59%
1-50.22%
0-60.43%