Tijuana at Toluca

Updated

Tijuana

11.9%17.0%71.1%
WinDrawToluca Win
0.88Projected Goals 2.41
0Final Score 2

Toluca

Last 5 Games

Tijuana
Money Line
T 3-3 at Atletico+235
T 1-1 vs Queretaro-130
L 2-3 at Pachuca+500
L 0-1 at Cruz Azul+500
T 1-1 vs Guadalajara+150
Toluca
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Santos Laguna-180
T 0-0 at Monterrey+390
T 3-3 at Necaxa+105
W 1-4 vs Leon+120
L 2-3 at Guadalajara+235

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tijuana+330+545+525+615+573+615+615+640.8
Toluca-125-205-230-227-219-227-205-203.1
Draw+260+370+380+395+384+395+395+412.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tijuana+390---+525+575+575+640.8
Toluca-155----275-225-225-203.1
Draw+320---+325+375+375+412.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tijuana: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toluca: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tijuana: 0.0%
Toluca: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tijuana: 20.0%
Toluca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Tijuana ML
No Steam Moves On Toluca ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tijuana: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toluca: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tijuana: 0.0%
Toluca: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tijuana: 10.0%
Toluca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Tijuana ML
No Steam Moves On Toluca ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o3-118o3-110o3-117-o3-117o3-110o3-106
Underu2½+102u3+100u3-110u3-103-u3-103u3+100u3+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105---o3-110o3-110o3-110o3-106
Underu3-115---u3-120u3-110u3-110u3+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.3%
 
No46.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.74%
Exactly 220.19%
Exactly 418.17%
Exactly 66.55%
Exactly 81.26%
Exactly 100.15%
 
Exactly 112.28%
Exactly 322.12%
Exactly 511.95%
Exactly 73.07%
Exactly 90.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Tijuana
Exactly 041.42%
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 216.09%
Exactly 34.73%
Exactly 41.04%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Toluca
Exactly 09.02%
Exactly 121.70%
Exactly 226.10%
Exactly 320.93%
Exactly 412.59%
Exactly 56.06%
Exactly 62.43%
Exactly 70.83%
Exactly 80.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.83%
Exactly 225.28%
Exactly 44.88%
Exactly 60.38%
 
Exactly 133.22%
Exactly 312.83%
Exactly 51.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Tijuana
Exactly 066.49%
Exactly 127.14%
Exactly 25.54%
Exactly 30.75%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Toluca
Exactly 032.83%
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 220.36%
Exactly 37.56%
Exactly 42.11%
Exactly 50.47%

Alternate Props

Spread

Tijuana
Wins by 2+ goals3.64%
Wins by 3+ goals0.85%
Toluca
Wins by 2+ goals48.44%
Wins by 3+ goals27.65%
Wins by 4+ goals13.29%
Wins by 5+ goals5.43%
Wins by 6+ goals1.89%
Wins by 7+ goals0.54%
Wins by 8+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Tijuana
Toluca
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Tijuana
Wins by 1 goal8.26%
Wins by 2 goals2.79%
Wins by 3 goals0.70%
Toluca
Wins by 1 goal22.55%
Wins by 2 goals20.79%
Wins by 3 goals14.36%
Wins by 4 goals7.86%
Wins by 5 goals3.54%
Wins by 6 goals1.35%
Wins by 7 goals0.44%
Wins by 8 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.26%3.74%
1.583.98%16.02%
2.563.80%36.20%
3.541.68%58.32%
4.523.51%76.49%
5.511.56%88.44%
6.55.01%94.99%
7.51.94%98.06%

Total Goals Tijuana Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.58%41.42%
1.522.08%77.92%
2.55.98%94.02%
3.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals Toluca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.98%9.02%
1.569.28%30.72%
2.543.17%56.83%
3.522.24%77.76%
4.59.66%90.34%
5.53.60%96.40%
6.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.17%21.83%
1.544.95%55.05%
2.519.67%80.33%
3.56.84%93.16%
4.51.96%98.04%

Score Props

Correct Score

Tijuana
Toluca
Score012345
0
3.74%
8.99%
10.81%
8.67%
5.21%
2.51%
1
3.29%
7.92%
9.53%
7.64%
4.60%
2.21%
2
1.45%
3.49%
4.20%
3.37%
2.03%
0.97%
3
0.43%
1.03%
1.23%
0.99%
0.60%
0.29%
Tijuana
1-03.29%
2-01.45%
2-13.49%
3-00.43%
3-11.03%
3-21.23%
Draw
0-03.74%
1-17.92%
2-24.20%
3-30.99%
4-40.13%
Toluca
0-18.99%
0-210.81%
1-29.53%
0-38.67%
1-37.64%
2-33.37%
0-45.21%
1-44.60%
2-42.03%
3-40.60%
0-52.51%
1-52.21%
2-50.97%
3-50.29%

Correct Score - First Half

Tijuana
Toluca
Score012345
0
21.83%
24.31%
13.54%
5.03%
1.40%
0.31%
1
8.91%
9.92%
5.53%
2.05%
0.57%
0.13%
2
1.82%
2.03%
1.13%
0.42%
0.12%
0.03%
3
0.25%
0.28%
0.15%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Tijuana
1-08.91%
2-01.82%
2-12.03%
3-00.25%
3-10.28%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-021.83%
1-19.92%
2-21.13%
Toluca
0-124.31%
0-213.54%
1-25.53%
0-35.03%
1-32.05%
2-30.42%
0-41.40%
1-40.57%
2-40.12%
0-50.31%
1-50.13%