Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 18, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Leon
Guadalajara 		10.6%
72.1%		17.3%
+602
-235
+610
-240
0.75
2.28		3.03
o3+102
u3-122
o3+105
u3-120
Games for Mar 17, 2026
Games for Mar 20, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Toluca
Leon		19.7%
64.4%		15.9%
+520
-185
+540
-195
1
2		-0.46474-0.45755-0.44066
UANL
Queretaro		48.0%
26.8%		25.2%
+123
+243
+119
+250
1
0		-0.84499-0.82394-0.73301
Santos Laguna
Guadalajara		35.0%
37.1%		27.9%
+198
+154
+190
+152
1
1		-1.21497-1.22683-1.27830
Pachuca
UNAM		30.0%
42.1%		27.9%
+115
+269
+115
+281
2
2		-1.22584-1.21335-1.27687
Atletico
Monterrey		18.1%
66.9%		15.0%
+625
-225
+600
-220
0
2		-0.41026-0.42500-0.40208
Necaxa
America		27.1%
49.5%		23.4%
+485
-167
+530
-173
1
2		-0.51462-0.50387-0.70344
Tijuana
Atlas		34.6%
34.3%		31.1%
+395
-125
+375
-130
0
1		-0.61173-0.61906-1.06973
Cruz Azul
FC Juarez		49.0%
26.9%		24.1%
-120
+346
-120
+370
1
0		-0.65851-0.65552-0.71366
Mazatlan FC
Puebla		33.5%
39.0%		27.5%
+365
-103
+330
+105
1
3		-0.70816-0.76598-0.94117
Leon
Santos Laguna		42.8%
31.4%		25.8%
+195
+150
+186
+152
2
1		-1.12120-1.09913-0.84795
Puebla
Toluca		34.0%
37.8%		28.2%
+210
+150
+215
+140
4
4		-1.22350-1.20875-1.26603
Queretaro
Tijuana		41.0%
31.8%		27.2%
+297
+105
+300
+100
1
3		-0.75027-0.74482-1.14687
Atlas
Cruz Azul		16.3%
67.7%		16.0%
+295
+124
+325
+120
2
3		-0.84102-0.80080-0.39057
UNAM
Atletico		58.8%
21.8%		19.4%
+210
+149
+225
+140
1
0		-1.16652-1.21487-0.53093
America
Mazatlan FC		44.9%
30.7%		24.4%
+121
+275
+130
+241
1
0		-0.30019-0.27997-0.80176
FC Juarez
Necaxa		31.5%
41.2%		27.2%
+295
+105
+304
+105
0
1		-0.74657-0.74272-0.88579
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.92374 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.97502 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.08283
-0.15909
-0.10780

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.