Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Leon
Mazatlan FC 		34.0%
39.5%		26.5%
+140
+200
+130
+210
1.23
1.34		2.57
o2½-118
u2½-102
o2½-115
u2½+100
UNAM
Necaxa 		28.2%
45.2%		26.6%
+175
+155
+175
+150
1.06
1.42		2.48
o2½-114
u2½-105
o2½-115
u2½+100
Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Atletico
Leon		15.2%
64.4%		20.4%
+390
-123
+410
-130
1
0		-1.60789-1.64046-1.88394
Monterrey
Pachuca		28.6%
44.9%		26.5%
+260
+110
+225
+115
0
3		-0.76949-0.81482-0.80051
Mazatlan FC
Cruz Azul		11.9%
71.0%		17.1%
+1400
-385
+1150
-400
0
0		-1.84061-1.85816-1.76341
UNAM
Santos Laguna		48.4%
26.8%		24.8%
+160
+189
+150
+200
0
3		-1.08572-1.13881-1.31505
Necaxa
Toluca		17.3%
62.0%		20.7%
+510
-179
+490
-185
1
3		-0.47023-0.47700-0.47789
America
FC Juarez		52.4%
23.1%		24.5%
-111
+437
-115
+370
1
1		-1.24462-1.27518-1.40699
Queretaro
Tijuana		12.8%
68.6%		18.6%
+475
-177
+455
-175
0
1		-0.48238-0.49992-0.37730
Atlas
Puebla		34.8%
36.3%		28.9%
+202
+154
+195
+150
3
2		-1.14003-1.12741-1.05458
America
Toluca		24.6%
52.1%		23.2%
+156
+210
+145
+210
0
2		-1.16261-1.18335-0.65135
Toluca
America		24.9%
51.8%		23.3%
+355
-120
+350
-115
0
0		-1.35712-1.32531-1.45732
Cruz Azul
America		19.3%
58.7%		22.0%
+335
-105
+300
+100
1
2		-0.69645-0.73224-0.53241
UANL
Toluca		21.4%
54.9%		23.7%
+337
-110
+350
-115
0
3		-0.67289-0.66376-0.59886
America
Cruz Azul		30.6%
43.3%		26.1%
+225
+165
+190
+165
0
1		-0.98527-1.02859-0.83718
Toluca
UANL		27.8%
46.0%		26.1%
+342
+103
+305
+110
1
1		-1.22615-1.21970-1.34232
Necaxa
UANL		16.8%
60.4%		22.8%
+360
-120
+350
-110
2
2		-1.35674-1.34415-1.47946
Leon
Cruz Azul		11.7%
70.5%		17.8%
+368
-126
+350
-130
1
2		-0.61149-0.61990-0.34923
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-2-0 (0.500)0-1.09150 
Sportsbooks42-2-0 (0.500)0-1.11922 
DRatings42-2-0 (0.500)0-1.24909
-0.15760
-0.12987

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.