Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 4, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
UANL
Puebla 		55.4%
20.3%		24.4%
+102
+288
+100
+280
1.66
0.90		2.56
o2½-115
u2½-102
o2½-115
u2½+100
Queretaro
Monterrey 		9.7%
74.7%		15.6%
+640
-222
+700
-250
0.79
2.50		3.29
o2¾-120
u2¾+100
o3+110
u3-128
FC Juarez
America 		10.6%
72.5%		16.9%
+550
-185
+585
-195
0.77
2.34		3.11
o2½+102
u2½-114
o2½-105
u2½-105
Tijuana
Atlas 		28.9%
42.3%		28.8%
+277
+105
+260
+110
0.96
1.23		2.19
o2½-105
u2½-111
o2½-105
u2½-115
Games for Mar 3, 2026
Games for Mar 6, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
UNAM
Atlas		35.0%
35.7%		29.2%
+174
+183
+170
+180
2
2		-1.18254-1.19139-1.22960
Cruz Azul
Toluca		25.2%
50.6%		24.1%
+315
-107
+320
-115
1
1		-1.31599-1.33044-1.42101
Leon
Queretaro		31.7%
41.3%		27.0%
+153
+196
+155
+185
0
2		-1.12067-1.09679-0.88445
Guadalajara
Mazatlan FC		55.1%
21.6%		23.3%
-270
+725
-245
+700
2
1		-0.34893-0.38076-0.59637
Puebla
Tijuana		17.2%
61.4%		21.5%
+380
-139
+400
-145
0
0		-1.44422-1.42728-1.53917
Atletico
Necaxa		19.3%
57.5%		23.1%
+196
+153
+195
+155
1
4		-0.96370-0.96530-0.55266
Santos Laguna
UANL		7.4%
78.7%		13.9%
+915
-368
+860
-375
1
5		-0.27500-0.28744-0.23977
Pachuca
Queretaro		40.9%
32.1%		27.1%
+123
+232
+125
+230
0
0		-1.28334-1.26450-1.30637
Tijuana
Monterrey		12.3%
69.0%		18.7%
+425
-150
+400
-145
2
2		-1.44109-1.43675-1.67890
UANL
Leon		39.5%
32.0%		28.6%
+104
+274
+105
+280
2
1		-0.74769-0.74619-0.92958
Guadalajara
Atletico		42.3%
30.1%		27.6%
-128
+388
-115
+375
3
2		-0.61116-0.64491-0.86076
Mazatlan FC
Atlas		24.2%
50.8%		24.9%
+338
-122
+335
-122
0
1		-0.63109-0.63709-0.67637
Necaxa
America		10.6%
72.9%		16.5%
+675
-208
+650
-205
0
2		-0.42777-0.43725-0.31660
Cruz Azul
FC Juarez		51.0%
23.6%		25.3%
+110
+278
+110
+250
4
3		-0.75290-0.78084-0.67305
Santos Laguna
UNAM		13.1%
68.8%		18.1%
+480
-154
+480
-180
0
4		-0.49886-0.48104-0.37401
Toluca
Puebla		56.8%
20.9%		22.3%
-175
+610
-200
+640
0
0		-1.55410-1.55362-1.50063
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks44-0-0 (1.000)0-0.55286 
Sportsbooks44-0-0 (1.000)0-0.55391 
DRatings44-0-0 (1.000)0-0.53785
0.01501
0.01606

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.