Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pachuca
Atletico 		30.5%
42.7%		26.8%
+140
+206
+160
+203
1.12
1.37		2.49
o2½-107
u2½-108
o2½-105
u2½-105
Santos Laguna
Guadalajara 		7.0%
80.1%		13.0%
+1050
-409
+1050
-425
0.71
2.75		3.46
o3½-102
u3½-115
o3½-105
u3½-115
Atlas
Toluca 		6.2%
81.4%		12.3%
+675
-258
+705
-275
0.66
2.79		3.45
o2¾-112
u2¾-108
o3+120
u3-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Tijuana
Leon 		26.2%
48.3%		25.5%
+298
-110
+288
+100
1.06
1.54		2.60
o3+102
u3-120
o3+100
u3-120
Cruz Azul
UNAM 		35.8%
36.0%		28.1%
+118
+245
+115
+238
1.16
1.17		2.33
o2¾+105
u2¾-120
o2½-120
u2½+110
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Guadalajara
UNAM		32.9%
37.9%		29.2%
+224
+141
+205
+140
2
1		-1.19142-1.16162-1.11121
UANL
Atlas		44.1%
27.0%		28.8%
+120
+260
+125
+230
1
0		-0.81455-0.85252-0.81762
Necaxa
Monterrey		8.2%
76.2%		15.5%
+940
-282
+900
-320
1
2		-0.31481-0.31472-0.27121
Santos Laguna
Atletico		42.1%
31.0%		26.9%
+157
+175
+155
+170
1
1		-1.32313-1.31636-1.31382
Cruz Azul
Puebla		32.5%
38.4%		29.2%
+126
+235
+135
+220
3
1		-0.83623-0.88605-1.12501
Leon
FC Juarez		29.5%
42.5%		28.0%
+159
+191
+150
+185
0
0		-1.24105-1.26567-1.27368
Pachuca
Mazatlan FC		50.4%
24.7%		24.9%
-129
+388
-135
+375
3
2		-0.58895-0.59807-0.68568
UNAM
Necaxa		32.0%
39.6%		28.4%
+155
+191
+150
+185
1
3		-1.08945-1.08726-0.92523
Queretaro
Monterrey		7.9%
76.8%		15.4%
+850
-279
+800
-285
0
2		-0.32768-0.34003-0.26455
Tijuana
Guadalajara		14.8%
63.8%		21.3%
+372
-115
+355
-116
1
2		-0.65375-0.66334-0.44895
America
Atletico		59.0%
18.6%		22.4%
-131
+398
-132
+350
3
1		-0.58374-0.60732-0.52818
Puebla
Leon		19.2%
57.0%		23.8%
+435
-138
+400
-140
0
2		-0.55561-0.57180-0.56207
FC Juarez
UANL		11.0%
70.2%		18.8%
+691
-219
+627
-220
0
0		-1.60445-1.55898-1.66871
Cruz Azul
Toluca		29.0%
44.7%		26.3%
+188
+156
+185
+150
1
3		-0.96490-0.95703-0.80564
Guadalajara
Pachuca		17.8%
59.3%		23.0%
+325
-101
+330
+101
1
1		-1.27601-1.26844-1.47107
UNAM
UANL		10.8%
70.5%		18.6%
+740
-227
+700
-220
2
4		-0.38425-0.39113-0.34906
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-0-2 (0.500)0-1.30332 
Sportsbooks20-0-2 (0.500)0-1.30713 
DRatings20-0-2 (0.500)0-1.29174
0.01157
0.01538

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.