Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pachuca
Atletico 		30.5%
42.7%		26.8%
+140
+206
+135
+205
1.12
1.37		2.49
o2½-107
u2½-108
o2½-115
u2½-105
Santos Laguna
Guadalajara 		7.0%
80.1%		13.0%
+1050
-409
+915
-415
0.71
2.75		3.46
o3½-102
u3½-115
o3½-105
u3½-115
Atlas
Toluca 		6.2%
81.4%		12.3%
+675
-258
+655
-270
0.66
2.79		3.45
o2¾-108
u2¾-108
o2½-130
u2½+115
Tijuana
Leon 		26.2%
48.3%		25.5%
+298
-110
+295
-115
1.06
1.54		2.60
o3+102
u3-118
o3+100
u3-120
Cruz Azul
UNAM 		35.8%
36.0%		28.1%
+118
+245
+115
+238
1.16
1.17		2.33
o2¾+105
u2¾-122
o2½-120
u2½+105
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
FC Juarez
Toluca		21.9%
54.1%		24.0%
+309
+103
+305
+100
0
3		-0.71539-0.73337-0.61419
Leon
Cruz Azul		28.1%
44.6%		27.4%
+242
+143
+225
+140
0
1		-0.87101-0.89292-0.80820
Necaxa
UANL		15.7%
62.5%		21.8%
+560
-168
+580
-175
0
2		-0.48618-0.47438-0.47077
Tijuana
Leon		18.8%
57.8%		23.4%
+325
-119
+300
-120
2
2		-1.43334-1.44958-1.45444
Mazatlan FC
Santos Laguna		17.1%
61.8%		21.1%
+388
-149
+395
-155
0
3		-0.54364-0.54201-0.48117
Queretaro
Toluca		21.9%
54.3%		23.7%
+246
+106
+255
+105
1
4		-0.75311-0.73116-0.60998
Guadalajara
Cruz Azul		36.5%
34.2%		29.3%
+205
+148
+200
+140
1
2		-0.93148-0.91864-1.07274
Necaxa
Atlas		29.0%
42.3%		28.7%
+215
+146
+198
+145
0
1		-0.92680-0.94179-0.86093
UANL
Atletico		39.9%
32.1%		28.0%
+148
+193
+141
+200
3
0		-0.93412-0.91704-0.65851
Pachuca
Monterrey		27.7%
45.0%		27.3%
+246
+117
+245
+110
0
0		-1.29182-1.30328-1.29773
UNAM
FC Juarez		28.8%
43.0%		28.2%
+270
+110
+275
-103
1
3		-0.75854-0.72186-0.84471
America
Puebla		39.0%
32.4%		28.6%
+106
+288
-110
+270
2
1		-0.71335-0.69279-0.94202
UNAM
Puebla		25.2%
47.8%		27.0%
+221
+130
+210
+130
1
2		-0.85447-0.87508-0.73781
Mazatlan FC
Necaxa		18.0%
60.1%		21.8%
+325
-105
+310
-110
2
2		-1.28129-1.30482-1.52248
Necaxa
Tijuana		28.3%
44.5%		27.2%
+265
+112
+265
+105
1
1		-1.29189-1.29916-1.30221
Pachuca
Atletico		42.5%
30.4%		27.0%
-104
+330
-105
+320
2
1		-0.69293-0.70441-0.85463
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-0-2 (0.500)0-1.30332 
Sportsbooks20-0-2 (0.500)0-1.30713 
DRatings20-0-2 (0.500)0-1.29174
0.01157
0.01538

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.