Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pachuca
Atletico 		30.5%
42.7%		26.8%
+135
+213
+135
+205
1.12
1.37		2.49
o2½-115
u2½+102
o2½-115
u2½-105
Santos Laguna
Guadalajara 		7.0%
80.1%		13.0%
+1050
-409
+915
-415
0.71
2.75		3.46
o3½-102
u3½-118
o3½-105
u3½-115
Atlas
Toluca 		6.2%
81.4%		12.3%
+675
-258
+675
-275
0.66
2.79		3.45
o2¾-108
u2¾-108
o2½-130
u2½+115
Tijuana
Leon 		26.2%
48.3%		25.5%
+325
-120
+310
-115
1.06
1.54		2.60
o3+102
u3-115
o3+100
u3-120
Cruz Azul
UNAM 		35.8%
36.0%		28.1%
+118
+245
+115
+238
1.16
1.17		2.33
o2¾+100
u2¾-118
o2½-120
u2½+105
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Atlas
Pachuca		19.1%
56.1%		24.8%
+375
-120
+385
-125
1
3		-0.63493-0.63030-0.57866
UANL
UNAM		38.3%
32.3%		29.4%
+126
+240
+125
+225
1
1		-1.24981-1.25836-1.22411
America
Queretaro		43.9%
28.7%		27.4%
-140
+430
-145
+410
1
0		-0.55774-0.56789-0.82401
Monterrey
Guadalajara		27.8%
44.2%		28.0%
+185
+177
+185
+165
0
1		-1.04296-1.01830-0.81590
Leon
Pachuca		20.8%
54.9%		24.3%
+395
-136
+365
-140
0
1		-0.57024-0.58329-0.59955
Toluca
Atletico		26.7%
48.2%		25.1%
+181
+155
+180
+151
0
1		-0.96006-0.95683-0.72948
Santos Laguna
UNAM		31.2%
40.8%		28.0%
+194
+155
+220
+160
5
1		-1.11221-1.17762-1.16315
Mazatlan FC
FC Juarez		25.5%
49.0%		25.5%
+405
-108
+365
-110
1
1		-1.21399-1.21760-1.36673
Cruz Azul
America		20.5%
55.5%		23.9%
+435
-139
+425
-145
0
7		-0.56660-0.56572-0.58843
UANL
Monterrey		25.8%
46.9%		27.2%
+240
+128
+230
+130
0
0		-1.24605-1.22316-1.30067
Puebla
Atlas		22.5%
50.0%		27.5%
+295
+110
+280
+110
1
1		-1.28399-1.27132-1.28942
Tijuana
Queretaro		22.0%
52.9%		25.1%
+234
+125
+235
+118
0
2		-0.82860-0.82214-0.63696
Guadalajara
Necaxa		33.6%
37.4%		29.0%
+160
+215
+161
+200
4
0		-0.97485-1.00797-1.09121
UNAM
Atletico		25.0%
48.9%		26.1%
+195
+153
+195
+148
2
3		-0.96304-0.95249-0.71625
Leon
Santos Laguna		29.1%
44.0%		26.9%
+226
+125
+215
+120
1
2		-0.82865-0.82986-0.82155
Tijuana
Cruz Azul		12.1%
69.0%		18.9%
+360
-108
+300
-105
2
1		-1.54113-1.43704-2.11296
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-0-2 (0.500)0-1.30332 
Sportsbooks20-0-2 (0.500)0-1.30713 
DRatings20-0-2 (0.500)0-1.29174
0.01157
0.01538

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.