Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atlas
Toluca 		6.2%
81.4%		12.3%
+610
-230
+675
-250
0.66
2.79		3.45
o2¾-104
u2¾-115
o2½-130
u2½+115
Tijuana
Leon 		26.2%
48.3%		25.5%
+325
-122
+325
-120
1.06
1.54		2.60
o3-102
u3-118
o3+100
u3-120
Cruz Azul
UNAM 		35.8%
36.0%		28.1%
+118
+245
+115
+238
1.16
1.17		2.33
o2¾+100
u2¾-115
o2½-120
u2½+105
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Pachuca
Atletico 		30.5%
42.7%		26.8%
+135
+213
+135
+205
2.49
o2½-115
u2¾-122
o2½-115
u2½-105
2nd H
53:00		0
1
Santos Laguna
Guadalajara 		7.0%
80.1%		13.0%
+895
-352
+915
-415
3.46
o3½+100
u3½-120
o3½-105
u3½-115
2nd H
48:00		0
2

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Tijuana
Toluca		16.9%
61.8%		21.3%
+355
-117
+340
-120
1
3		-0.63624-0.65107-0.48151
Cruz Azul
Santos Laguna		26.1%
47.8%		26.0%
+215
+145
+210
+135
0
4		-0.91394-0.89997-0.73787
Leon
Monterrey		23.9%
50.1%		26.0%
+455
-135
+445
-168
1
5		-0.53346-0.51166-0.69055
Guadalajara
Mazatlan FC		40.1%
32.4%		27.5%
+158
+235
+150
+205
1
2		-1.20658-1.16437-1.12587
Queretaro
Atlas		13.1%
65.5%		21.4%
+365
-110
+325
-115
1
3		-0.66312-0.67627-0.42379
Atletico
FC Juarez		30.6%
41.5%		27.9%
+260
+145
+250
+130
1
1		-1.13987-1.17581-1.27787
Puebla
Toluca		31.2%
41.6%		27.3%
+225
+139
+205
+132
1
1		-1.26862-1.28598-1.29949
America
Leon		25.7%
48.2%		26.1%
+130
+227
+130
+214
2
3		-1.21315-1.19050-0.72935
Atlas
Santos Laguna		26.7%
45.1%		28.1%
+258
+180
+180
+177
0
1		-0.95584-1.04905-0.79551
Monterrey
UNAM		36.3%
34.1%		29.6%
+178
+205
+166
+190
1
1		-1.21966-1.23853-1.21878
Atletico
Puebla		16.9%
60.8%		22.3%
+278
+123
+235
+125
0
0		-1.23292-1.23887-1.50188
Mazatlan FC
Tijuana		25.8%
49.0%		25.2%
+309
+108
+290
+105
0
2		-0.74739-0.75547-0.71402
Pachuca
Guadalajara		31.3%
40.0%		28.7%
+196
+188
+165
+180
0
0		-1.16286-1.19806-1.24897
Queretaro
UANL		10.8%
70.9%		18.3%
+750
-196
+720
-233
1
2		-0.40254-0.39771-0.34404
Necaxa
Cruz Azul		16.2%
62.2%		21.6%
+288
+134
+245
+125
0
1		-0.83450-0.85668-0.47478
Toluca
FC Juarez		33.0%
39.2%		27.8%
+250
+133
+222
+126
1
1		-1.22649-1.26983-1.28013
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-0-2 (0.500)0-1.30332 
Sportsbooks20-0-2 (0.500)0-1.30713 
DRatings20-0-2 (0.500)0-1.29174
0.01157
0.01538

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.