Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Cruz Azul
UNAM 		35.8%
36.0%		28.1%
+102
+280
+115
+238
1.16
1.17		2.33
o2¾-105
u2¾-110
o2½-120
u2½+105
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Atlas
Toluca 		6.2%
81.4%		12.3%
+462
-168
+600
-190
3.45
o2½-115
u2½-102
o2½-130
u2½+110
2nd H
90:00		0
0
Tijuana
Leon 		26.2%
48.3%		25.5%
+336
-128
+325
-130
2.60
o3-104
u3-115
o3+100
u3-120
2nd H
90:00		3
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Atletico
Mazatlan FC		30.1%
43.9%		26.0%
+209
+155
+205
+137
1
1		-1.22312-1.25614-1.34577
Monterrey
Queretaro		42.4%
29.5%		28.1%
+134
+245
+124
+245
3
0		-0.86057-0.84067-0.85687
Leon
Guadalajara		27.5%
45.2%		27.4%
+257
+123
+261
+118
0
0		-1.25660-1.27604-1.29642
Mazatlan FC
Pachuca		12.0%
70.2%		17.8%
+875
-237
+799
-250
1
1		-1.59086-1.56806-1.72479
Tijuana
UANL		9.5%
73.3%		17.2%
+700
-217
+680
-230
0
1		-0.40107-0.40732-0.31110
Monterrey
Atletico		43.5%
29.2%		27.4%
+118
+254
+115
+245
1
0		-0.80196-0.81175-0.83324
Necaxa
UNAM		24.4%
49.4%		26.2%
+246
+125
+250
+120
0
1		-0.83154-0.82394-0.70459
Guadalajara
Santos Laguna		23.6%
50.9%		25.5%
+255
+122
+255
+120
1
1		-1.23491-1.23244-1.36767
Cruz Azul
Atlas		23.2%
49.8%		27.0%
+290
+120
+267
+110
2
3		-0.80234-0.79678-0.69800
Queretaro
FC Juarez		33.2%
37.7%		29.2%
+218
+157
+200
+150
1
1		-1.15945-1.20795-1.23268
Leon
Puebla		27.8%
44.8%		27.4%
+225
+124
+215
+120
1
1		-1.34232-1.34973-1.29415
Toluca
America		13.3%
67.9%		18.8%
+580
-200
+500
-195
0
1		-0.42518-0.45363-0.38669
Necaxa
Queretaro		25.8%
47.9%		26.3%
+207
+160
+195
+150
2
1		-1.13956-1.13202-1.35627
Atlas
Toluca		38.9%
32.4%		28.7%
+192
+174
+185
+170
2
3		-1.02299-1.02644-1.12676
America
Monterrey		26.2%
47.0%		26.8%
+243
+130
+230
+130
2
3		-0.85571-0.87294-0.75517
Pachuca
Cruz Azul		34.8%
36.5%		28.7%
+185
+178
+178
+165
2
1		-1.05636-1.07084-1.05670
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks31-0-2 (0.667)0-0.95420 
Sportsbooks31-0-2 (0.667)0-0.95262 
DRatings31-0-2 (0.667)0-0.94344
0.01076
0.00918

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.