Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Leon
Mazatlan FC 		34.0%
39.5%		26.5%
+140
+195
+139
+190
1.23
1.34		2.57
o2½-118
u2½-102
o2½-115
u2½+100
UNAM
Necaxa 		28.2%
45.2%		26.6%
+175
+155
+180
+150
1.06
1.42		2.48
o2½-114
u2½-105
o2½-115
u2½+100
Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
FC Juarez
America 		10.6%
72.5%		16.9%
+400
-130
+550
-140
3.11
o2¼-120
u2½-122
o2½+100
u2½-115
1st H
34:00		1
0
Tijuana
Atlas 		28.9%
42.3%		28.8%
+265
+110
+250
+110
2.19
o2½-105
u2½-111
o2½-105
u2½-115
1st H
38:00		0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Puebla
Leon		11.2%
71.6%		17.2%
+343
-105
+313
-110
2
1		-1.48541-1.45385-2.19051
Monterrey
Guadalajara		32.7%
38.7%		28.5%
+304
-109
+280
+105
2
4		-0.68472-0.74248-0.94863
Atletico
UANL		11.4%
69.6%		19.0%
+805
-223
+825
-295
1
3		-0.34654-0.32036-0.36176
Atlas
Tijuana		18.6%
58.0%		23.3%
+405
-142
+385
-155
0
2		-0.54925-0.54338-0.54442
Necaxa
Mazatlan FC		33.5%
39.6%		26.8%
+105
+258
+115
+250
1
1		-1.37654-1.34888-1.31632
Queretaro
FC Juarez		12.1%
69.1%		18.8%
+525
-176
+585
-210
2
1		-1.86240-1.97364-2.11122
Guadalajara
Pachuca		20.2%
56.3%		23.5%
+149
+195
+170
+205
1
0		-0.94639-0.98999-1.60008
Mazatlan FC
Queretaro		29.5%
45.0%		25.5%
+228
+130
+220
+125
0
1		-0.86365-0.86074-0.79842
Tijuana
UNAM		18.5%
59.2%		22.3%
+451
-166
+435
-145
1
4		-0.49890-0.53054-0.52364
Leon
America		11.7%
71.1%		17.2%
+835
-276
+800
-320
0
2		-0.32251-0.31780-0.34176
UANL
Monterrey		20.9%
53.9%		25.2%
+167
+180
+185
+175
1
1		-1.24504-1.22190-1.37761
Toluca
Atlas		51.6%
23.8%		24.6%
-155
+395
-160
+400
0
0		-1.52689-1.54099-1.40165
Cruz Azul
Puebla		54.9%
21.4%		23.6%
-142
+505
-145
+425
3
0		-0.52039-0.55633-0.59902
FC Juarez
Atletico		29.6%
42.6%		27.7%
+225
+131
+210
+135
2
1		-1.20541-1.16867-1.21652
Santos Laguna
Necaxa		17.4%
61.7%		20.9%
+539
-200
+500
-210
1
4		-0.42992-0.44055-0.48216
Pachuca
Toluca		23.1%
53.8%		23.1%
+500
-186
+485
-175
2
2		-1.59860-1.57581-1.46473
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-0.97264 
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-0.91281 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-0.94390
0.02874
-0.03110

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.