Red Sox at Twins

Updated

Boston Red Sox

(10-10)
Rank22
R/G4.2
RA/G4.0
47.0%53.0%
Red Sox WinTwins Win
3.98Projected Runs 4.29
5Final Score 10

Minnesota Twins

(6-11)
Rank16
R/G3.4
RA/G4.6
Rank22
R/G4.2
RA/G4.0
Rank16
R/G3.4
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Kutter Crawford (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
113-55.31.397

Chris Archer (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
222-74.341.303

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 2-4 at Minnesota TwinsBOS: Brayan Bello • MIN: Dylan Bundy+107
L 12-4 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Corey Kluber • BOS: Nick Pivetta-102
W 1-5 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Jeffrey Springs • BOS: Rich Hill+115
W 8-9 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: JT Chargois • BOS: Michael Wacha-114
L 6-5 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Kevin Gausman • BOS: Kutter Crawford+160
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 2-4 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Brayan Bello • MIN: Dylan Bundy-109
W 3-8 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Jakob Junis • MIN: Aaron Sanchez-105
W 2-3 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Alex Cobb • MIN: Sonny Gray-130
W 0-9 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Alex Wood • MIN: Joe Ryan-123
L 3-6 at Houston AstrosMIN: Chris Archer • HOU: Luis Garcia+148

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • 1BEric Hosmer10-day IL
  • PTanner HouckUnknown
  • PChris Sale60-day IL
  • PNathan EovaldiUnknown
  • 2BChristian ArroyoRest

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PJorge AlcalaOut for Season
  • PCole SandsUnknown
  • 2BJorge PolancoRest
  • SSRoyce LewisOut for Season
  • PTyler MahleUnknown
  • CFByron Buxton10-day IL
  • LFAlex Kirilloff60-day IL
WNW 8 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis
WindO/U Effect
To RightVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)79°77°75°73°
Humidity43%49%54%58%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindWNW 8 mphNW 6 mphNW 5 mphSW 5 mph
Vic Carapazza
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectModerate Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+120+117+113+116+118+116+118+117.5
Twins-130-126-135-126-128-126-126-117.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+115+116+115+115+116+116+116+117.5
Twins-125-126-126-130-126-126-126-117.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +117 to +110
No Steam Moves On Twins ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML
No Steam Moves On Twins ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-195+1½-178+1½-180+1½-175+1½-175+1½-175+1½-175+1½-162
Twins-1½+165-1½+157-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+157-1½+162
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-185+1½-180+1½-180+1½-185+1½-180+1½-180+1½-180+1½-162
Twins-1½+165-1½+160-1½+160-1½+165-1½+160-1½+160-1½+165-1½+162

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o9+102o8½-120o9+100o8½-127o9+100o8½-120o8½-109
Underu9-120u9-118u8½+100u9-120u8½+107u9-120u8½+107u8½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o9-105o9-105o9-105o9-105o9+100o9+100o8½-109
Underu9-115u9-115u9-115u9-115u9-115u9-120u9-115u8½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-105
No Steam Moves On Under
Rockies at Braves
Astros at Rangers