Blue Jays at Red Sox

Updated

Toronto Blue Jays

(61-64)
Rank15
R/G3.9
RA/G4.4
47.3%52.7%
Blue Jays WinRed Sox Win
4.21Projected Runs 4.50
4Final Score 3

Boston Red Sox

(66-57)
Rank7
R/G4.4
RA/G3.7
Rank15
R/G3.9
RA/G4.4
Rank7
R/G4.4
RA/G3.7

Pitching

Trey Yesavage (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
93-33.781.26

Sonny Gray (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
128-13.031.2

Last 5 Games

Toronto Blue Jays
Money Line
W 3-0 at Boston Red SoxTOR: Braydon Fisher • BOS: Jake Bennett+104
W 6-1 at Boston Red SoxTOR: Dylan Cease • BOS: Payton Tolle-111
L 8-3 vs New York YankeesNYY: Will Warren • TOR: Patrick Corbin+122
L 3-1 vs New York YankeesNYY: Cam Schlittler • TOR: Kevin Gausman+107
W 5-8 vs New York YankeesNYY: Ryan Weathers • TOR: Trey Yesavage-114
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Braydon Fisher • BOS: Jake Bennett-107
L 6-1 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Dylan Cease • BOS: Payton Tolle+108
L 6-4 vs Texas RangersTEX: Nathan Eovaldi • BOS: Connelly Early-111
W 3-6 vs Texas RangersTEX: Jacob deGrom • BOS: Ranger Suarez-115
W 1-10 vs Texas RangersTEX: Jack Leiter • BOS: Sonny Gray-126

Injuries

Toronto Blue Jays

Status
  • 3BLenyn Sosa10-day IL
  • CFDaulton Varsho10-day IL
  • PMax Scherzer15-day IL
  • PJoe Mantiply60-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • SSTrevor Story60-day IL
  • 1BNick Sogard10-day IL
  • PGarrett Crochet60-day IL
  • PKutter Crawford60-day IL
  • PJovani Moran15-day IL
S 18 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
To LeftVery High on Over
 
Temp (°F)79°80°81°81°
Humidity61%63%61%60%
Precipitation0%16%10%18%
ConditionWindyWindyWindyWindy
WindS 18 mphS 20 mphS 20 mphSSW 20 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays+100+125+124+127+127+124+127+129.5
Red Sox-110-135-148-140-137-137-135-129.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays+100+126+125+127+125+127+127+129.5
Red Sox-110-136-139-142-140-142-136-129.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Blue Jays: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Blue Jays: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Blue Jays ML moved from +120 to +113
Red Sox ML moved from -136 to -145

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Blue Jays: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Blue Jays: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Blue Jays ML moved from +133 to +125
Red Sox ML moved from -130 to -145

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays-1½+155+1½-172+1½-175+1½-172+1½-170+1½-172+1½-170+1½-159
Red Sox+1½-180-1½+152-1½+150-1½+151-1½+150-1½+151-1½+152-1½+159
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays+1½-210+1½-180+1½-185+1½-175+1½-175+1½-190+1½-175+1½-159
Red Sox-1½+175-1½+160-1½+160-1½+155-1½+150-1½+165-1½+165-1½+159

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o9½-105o9½-110o9½-112o9½-110o9½-112o9½-105o9½-102
Underu8½-110u9½-108u9½-110u9½-108u9½-110u9½-108u9½-108u9½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o9½-110o9½-115o9½-110o9½-110o9½-110o9½-110o9½-102
Underu8½-110u9½-110u9½-105u9½-110u9½-110u9½-110u9½-105u9½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-110 to o9½-115
The Under moved from u9+100 to u9-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-105 to o9½-110
The Under moved from u9-110 to u8½+100
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