Phillies at Braves

Updated
Rank3
R/G4.9
RA/G4.1
46.7%53.3%
Phillies WinBraves Win
4.30Projected Runs 4.65
13Final Score 0
Rank17
R/G4.5
RA/G4.5
Rank3
R/G4.9
RA/G4.1
Rank17
R/G4.5
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Mick Abel (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
52-13.471.157

Bryce Elder (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
122-44.771.333

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
L 1-2 at Houston AstrosPHI: Cristopher Sanchez • HOU: Hunter Brown+143
L 0-2 at Houston AstrosPHI: Zack Wheeler • HOU: Colton Gordon-151
L 0-1 at Houston AstrosPHI: Ranger Suárez • HOU: Framber Valdez+141
W 1-7 vs New York MetsNYM: David Peterson • PHI: Jesus Luzardo-110
L 11-4 vs New York MetsNYM: Griffin Canning • PHI: Mick Abel+120
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
L 0-4 at New York MetsATL: Grant Holmes • NYM: Griffin Canning+106
L 3-7 at New York MetsATL: Didier Fuentes • NYM: Clay Holmes+124
W 7-4 at New York MetsATL: Spencer Strider • NYM: Frankie Montas-129
W 3-2 at New York MetsATL: Spencer Schwellenbach • NYM: Frankie Montas-144
L 3-5 at Miami MarlinsATL: Bryce Elder • MIA: Sandy Alcántara-143

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • PJose AlvaradoOut
  • PAaron Nola60-day IL
  • 1BBryce Harper10-day IL

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • PAJ Smith-ShawverOut for Season
  • PChris Sale15-day IL
WNW 3 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)82°81°77°75°
Humidity70%77%79%84%
Precipitation98%40%40%40%
ConditionThunderstormsThunderstormsMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindWNW 3 mphNW 3 mphNW 3 mphNNE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+115+158+153+157+162+157+162+163.2
Braves-138-172-185-174-172-174-172-163.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+120+150+160+153+155+157+160+163.2
Braves-135-165-179-168-177-172-165-163.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 30.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +153 to +143
Braves ML moved from -174 to -181

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 30.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Braves: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Phillies ML
Braves ML moved from -173 to -179

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+1½-175+1½-128+1½-125+1½-125+1½-130+1½-125+1½-125+1½-114
Braves-1½+150-1½+112-1½+105-1½+105-1½+110-1½+105-1½+112-1½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+1½-165+1½-135+1½-125+1½-130+1½-140+1½-130+1½-125+1½-114
Braves-1½+145-1½+115-1½+105-1½+110-1½+120-1½+110-1½+115-1½+114

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o9½-103o9½+100o9½-108o9½+100o9½-108o9½+100o9½+102
Underu9+100u9½-113u9½-120u9½-112u9½-120u9½-112u9½-112u9½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o9½+100o9½-105o9-120o9-120o9½+100o9-120o9½+102
Underu9+100u9½-120u9½-115u9+100u9+100u9½-120u9½-115u9½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½-115 to u9+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-120 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½-115 to u9½-125