Reds at Cubs

Updated
Rank15
R/G5.2
RA/G4.3
51.0%49.0%
Reds WinCubs Win
4.20Projected Runs 4.10
7Final Score 4
Rank7
R/G5.5
RA/G4.5
Rank15
R/G5.2
RA/G4.3
Rank7
R/G5.5
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Luis Castillo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
214-104.21.392

Alec Mills (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
84-34.551.395

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 8-2 at Chicago CubsCIN: Tyler Mahle • CHC: Zach Davies-108
W 7-4 at Chicago CubsCIN: Vladimir Gutierrez • CHC: Adbert Alzolay+152
L 5-6 at Chicago CubsCIN: Wade Miley • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+122
L 10-6 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Johan Oviedo • CIN: Sonny Gray-160
W 3-5 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Jake Woodford • CIN: Luis Castillo-175
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 8-2 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Tyler Mahle • CHC: Zach Davies+102
L 7-4 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Vladimir Gutierrez • CHC: Adbert Alzolay-160
W 5-6 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Wade Miley • CHC: Kyle Hendricks-130
W 1-5 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Caleb Smith • CHC: Trevor Williams-175
L 7-3 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Merrill Kelly • CHC: Alec Mills-168

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PMichael Lorenzen10-day IL
  • PR.J. Alaniz10-day IL
  • PArt Warren10-day IL
  • RFNicholas Castellanos10-day IL

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PKohl Stewart60-day IL
  • CJose Lobaton60-day IL
  • LFKris BryantRest
  • PDillon Maples10-day IL
  • 1BAnthony RizzoRest
  • PBrad Wieck60-day IL
  • PJake Arrieta10-day IL
  • 2BNico Hoerner10-day IL
  • SSJavier BaezUnknown
N 12 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago
WindO/U Effect
From LeftModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)81°81°80°80°
Humidity76%76%73%72%
Precipitation9%5%2%0%
ConditionHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Partly CloudyPartly CloudyClear
WindN 12 mphN 12 mphNNE 15 mphNNE 15 mph
Dan Merzel
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-115--138-130-130-130-130-
Cubs+105-+118+120+120+120+120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-115-126-126-135-130-130-126-
Cubs+105+116+115+125+120+120+125-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from -126 to -135
Cubs ML moved from +125 to +117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Cubs: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 50.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from -129 to -137
Cubs ML moved from +124 to +115

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-1½+145--1½+140-1½+137-1½+137-1½+137-1½+140-
Cubs+1½-165-+1½-160+1½-157+1½-157+1½-157+1½-157-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-1½+145-1½+135-1½+139-1½+130-1½+135-1½+135-1½+139-
Cubs+1½-164+1½-155+1½-158+1½-150+1½-155+1½-155+1½-150-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-115-o7-105o7+100o7+100o7+100o7+100-
Underu7-105-u7-115u7-120u7-120u7-120u7-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-110o7+100o7+112o7-105o7-110o7-105o7+112-
Underu7-110u7-120u7-132u7-115u7-110u7-115u7-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7+107 to o7+100
The Under moved from u7-120 to u7-130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-125 to o7½-110
The Under moved from u7-115 to u7-130