Marlins at Cubs

Updated

Miami Marlins

(4-15)
Rank27
R/G3.7
RA/G5.5
46.2%53.8%
Marlins WinCubs Win
3.92Projected Runs 4.31
3Final Score 0

Chicago Cubs

(11-7)
Rank7
R/G5.6
RA/G4.8
Rank27
R/G3.7
RA/G5.5
Rank7
R/G5.6
RA/G4.8

Pitching

Jesus Luzardo (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
72-43.971.088

Adrian Sampson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
70-23.741.2

Last 5 Games

Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 0-4 at Chicago CubsMIA: Pablo Lopez • CHC: Drew Smyly-107
L 1-2 at Chicago CubsMIA: Edward Cabrera • CHC: Justin Steele+129
W 0-3 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Mike Minor • MIA: Sandy Alcantara-203
L 2-1 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Graham Ashcraft • MIA: Braxton Garrett-140
L 3-1 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Hunter Greene • MIA: Jesus Luzardo-115
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Pablo Lopez • CHC: Drew Smyly+103
W 1-2 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Edward Cabrera • CHC: Justin Steele-133
L 2-7 at St. Louis CardinalsCHC: Sean Newcomb • STL: Jose Quintana+164
L 3-4 at St. Louis CardinalsCHC: Marcus Stroman • STL: Miles Mikolas+148
L 0-6 at St. Louis CardinalsCHC: Keegan Thompson • STL: Adam Wainwright+153

Injuries

Miami Marlins

Status
  • PMax MeyerOut for Season
  • SSMiguel RojasRest
  • 3BJon Berti10-day IL
  • PElieser HernandezUnknown
  • 1BGarrett CooperRest
  • PDaniel CastanoUnknown
  • PJordan HollowayUnknown
  • DHJesus AguilarRest
  • LFJorge SolerRest
  • 3BBrian Anderson10-day IL
  • 2BJazz Chisholm Jr60-day IL
  • PCody Poteet60-day IL
  • PJimmy YacabonisUnknown
  • CFJesus SanchezRest
  • RFAvisail Garcia10-day IL

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • 3BChristopher MorelRest
  • SSAndrelton Simmons10-day IL
Wrigley Field, Chicago
WindO/U Effect
UnknownNo Effect
David Rackley
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home UmpireStrong Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+105+122+117+121+120+121+122+127.3
Cubs-115-132-140-131-130-131-130-127.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+100+123+128+122+125+122+125+127.3
Cubs-110-133-140-145-135-132-132-127.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Cubs: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Marlins: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Marlins ML
Cubs ML moved from -124 to -130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Cubs: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Marlins: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +128 to +117
Cubs ML moved from -124 to -137

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-197+1½-168+1½-175+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-168+1½-157
Cubs-1½+173-1½+152-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+152-1½+157
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-200+1½-170+1½-165+1½-170+1½-170+1½-165+1½-165+1½-157
Cubs-1½+176-1½+150-1½+146-1½+150-1½+150-1½+145-1½+150-1½+157

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o10+102o9½-115o9½-120o9½-120o9½-120o9½-113o9½+100
Underu8-105u10-118u9½-105u9½+100u9½+100u9½+100u9½+100u9½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o9½-110o9-125o9½-115o9-130o9½-110o9-125o9½+100
Underu8-105u9½-110u9+105u9½-105u9+110u9½-110u9½-105u9½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 50.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-110 to o9½-120
The Under moved from u9½-115 to u9½-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 50.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-105 to o9½-115
The Under moved from u9½+105 to u9½-110
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