Reds at Marlins

Updated
Rank17
R/G5.4
RA/G4.5
47.1%52.9%
Reds WinMarlins Win
3.79Projected Runs 4.09
2Final Score 1
Rank27
R/G3.6
RA/G5.6
Rank17
R/G5.4
RA/G4.5
Rank27
R/G3.6
RA/G5.6

Pitching

Graham Ashcraft (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
124-24.641.424

Braxton Garrett (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
102-43.961.185

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 3-1 at Miami MarlinsCIN: Hunter Greene • MIA: Jesus Luzardo+107
W 2-3 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Austin Voth • CIN: Nick Lodolo-118
W 2-8 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Dean Kremer • CIN: Tyler Mahle-107
L 6-2 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Kyle Bradish • CIN: Mike Minor+115
L 7-6 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Daniel Castano • CIN: Graham Ashcraft-128
Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Hunter Greene • MIA: Jesus Luzardo-115
L 9-3 vs New York MetsNYM: Taijuan Walker • MIA: Pablo Lopez+126
L 4-0 vs New York MetsNYM: Carlos Carrasco • MIA: Nick Neidert+185
L 6-4 vs New York MetsNYM: Chris Bassitt • MIA: Sandy Alcantara+107
W 7-6 at Cincinnati RedsMIA: Daniel Castano • CIN: Graham Ashcraft+125

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • CAramis Garcia10-day IL
  • PHunter StricklandOut
  • RFAristides AquinoUnknown
  • CTyler Stephenson10-day IL
  • PArt WarrenUnknown
  • DHJake FraleyRest
  • 3BMike MoustakasRest

Miami Marlins

Status
  • PCody Poteet60-day IL
  • 3BJon Berti10-day IL
  • 2BJazz Chisholm Jr60-day IL
  • PJimmy YacabonisUnknown
  • PTrevor RogersUnknown
  • 3BBrian Anderson10-day IL
  • PMax MeyerOut for Season
  • 1BGarrett Cooper10-day IL
  • PDaniel CastanoUnknown
  • LFJorge SolerQuestionable
  • PJordan HollowayUnknown
  • CJacob StallingsRest
  • PElieser HernandezUnknown
  • PAnthony Bender60-day IL
ENE 13 mph
Marlins Park, Miami
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)86°84°83°83°
Humidity72%74%75%80%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Partly CloudyHumidHumid
WindENE 13 mphENE 12 mphE 10 mphESE 8 mph
Nick Mahrley
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Home UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+115+135+126+136+135+136+136+139.1
Marlins-125-145-150-147-147-147-145-139.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+115+135+128+122+133+132+135+139.1
Marlins-125-145-140-145-145-142-140-139.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 20.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +117 to +110
Marlins ML moved from -138 to -145

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 20.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +155 to +135
Marlins ML moved from -133 to -170

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-180+1½-163+1½-170+1½-162+1½-162+1½-162+1½-162+1½-153
Marlins-1½+155-1½+147-1½+145-1½+142-1½+142-1½+142-1½+147-1½+153
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-190+1½-175+1½-175+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-153
Marlins-1½+170-1½+155-1½+155-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+155-1½+153

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o7½+107o7-120o7-122o7-122o7-122o7-120o7-109
Underu8-110u7½-123u7+100u7+102u7+102u7+102u7½-123u7+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o7½+105o7½+105o7½+105o7½+100o7½+105o7½+105o7-109
Underu8-110u7½-125u7½-125u7½-125u7½-120u7½-125u7½-120u7+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-118 to o7½-103
The Under moved from u7½-113 to u7½-123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-110 to u7½-120