Reds at Pirates

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.2
RA/G5.2
47.6%52.4%
Reds WinPirates Win
4.23Projected Runs 4.48
4Final Score 0
Rank29
R/G3.6
RA/G5.0
Rank25
R/G4.2
RA/G5.2
Rank29
R/G3.6
RA/G5.0

Pitching

Connor Overton (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-02.531.031

JT Brubaker (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
60-25.681.421

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 11-14 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Adrian Houser • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez+181
L 5-4 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Freddy Peralta • CIN: Hunter Greene+183
W 5-10 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Woodruff • CIN: Luis Castillo+161
W 3-7 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Zach Thompson • CIN: Tyler Mahle-133
L 8-5 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Dauri Moreta+115
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 3-5 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Ryan Pepiot • PIT: Dillon Peters+177
L 11-1 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Tony Gonsolin • PIT: Bryse Wilson+213
W 1-5 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Julio Urias • PIT: Jose Quintana+213
L 3-7 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Zach Thompson • CIN: Tyler Mahle+127
W 8-5 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Dauri Moreta-124

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • DHJake Fraley10-day IL
  • -Daniel Duarte60-day IL
  • 2BJonathan India10-day IL
  • CFNick Senzel10-day IL
  • 1BJoey Votto10-day IL
  • PLucas SimsUnknown
  • PNick LodoloOut

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • SSKevin Newman10-day IL
  • CRoberto Perez60-day IL
  • PAnthony Banda10-day IL
  • CFJake Marisnick10-day IL
E 9 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
WindO/U Effect
InVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)81°79°75°74°
Humidity41%48%58%59%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindE 9 mphESE 8 mphESE 8 mphSE 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBetting5DimesBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+125+115+121+121+121+121+121+123.5
Pirates-135-138-131-131-131-131-131-123.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+129+121+120+123+128+121+128+123.5
Pirates-140-131-131-133-139-131-131-123.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +122 to +116
Pirates ML moved from -127 to -134

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Reds: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 50.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +126 to +116
Pirates ML moved from -129 to -137

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBetting5DimesBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-150+1½-170+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-154
Pirates-1½+130-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+154
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-150+1½-165+1½-168+1½-165+1½-170+1½-165+1½-165+1½-154
Pirates-1½+130-1½+145-1½+149-1½+145-1½+150-1½+145-1½+150-1½+154

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBetting5DimesBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8-130o8-125o8-120o8-125o8-120o8-120o8-109
Underu8+100u8+110u8+105u8+100u8+105u8+100u8+110u8+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8-125o8-120o8-120o8-120o8-120o8-120o8-109
Underu8½+100u8+105u8+100u8+100u8+100u8+100u8+105u8+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8-107 to u8-116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8+105 to u8-105