Pirates at Reds

Updated

Pittsburgh Pirates

(11-8)
Rank17
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
41.4%58.6%
Pirates WinReds Win
3.67Projected Runs 4.60
3Final Score 7

Cincinnati Reds

(9-9)
Rank18
R/G5.3
RA/G4.7
Rank17
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
Rank18
R/G5.3
RA/G4.7

Pitching

Zach Thompson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
41-39.392.217

Tyler Mahle (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
61-47.011.714

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 8-5 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Dauri Moreta-124
L 2-9 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: JT Brubaker • CIN: Connor Overton-115
W 7-2 at Detroit TigersPIT: Jose Quintana • DET: Alex Faedo+125
L 2-3 at Detroit TigersPIT: Dillon Peters • DET: Michael Pineda+145
L 5-2 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Joe Musgrove • PIT: Mitch Keller+160
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 8-5 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Dauri Moreta+115
W 2-9 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: JT Brubaker • CIN: Connor Overton+108
L 5-10 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Hunter Greene • MIL: Adrian Houser+228
L 4-18 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Vladimir Gutierrez • MIL: Freddy Peralta+280
L 3-6 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Tyler Mahle • MIL: Brandon Woodruff+210

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PDuane Underwood10-day IL
  • 3BKe'Bryan HayesRest
  • CRoberto Perez10-day IL
  • PAnthony Banda10-day IL
  • SSKevin Newman10-day IL
  • RFAnthony AlfordRest

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • 2BJonathan India10-day IL
  • PLuis Castillo10-day IL
  • -Daniel Duarte60-day IL
  • 1BJoey Votto10-day IL
  • CFNick Senzel10-day IL
  • PNick LodoloOut
  • DHJake Fraley10-day IL
E 9 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
From LeftModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)63°66°68°69°
Humidity53%50%48%46%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindE 9 mphE 9 mphE 9 mphE 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+125+117+125+125+125+125+125+128.3
Reds-135-140-135-135-135-135-135-128.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+120+127+127+123+126+125+127+128.3
Reds-130-137-139-133-137-135-133-128.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +120 to +113
Reds ML moved from -129 to -135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +123 to +115
Reds ML moved from -130 to -137

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-170+1½-175+1½-164+1½-170+1½-164+1½-164+1½-164+1½-154
Reds-1½+150-1½+150-1½+144-1½+150-1½+144-1½+144-1½+150-1½+154
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-170+1½-170+1½-164+1½-165+1½-165+1½-160+1½-164+1½-154
Reds-1½+150-1½+150-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+140-1½+150-1½+154

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120o8-115o8-105o8-105o8-105o8-105o8-105o8+104
Underu7½+100u8-105u8-115u8-115u8-115u8-115u8-105u8-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8-120o8+100o8-105o8-115o8-105o8+100o8+104
Underu8-105u8+100u8-120u8-115u8-105u8-115u8+100u8-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8-104 to u8-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8-125
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-120
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