Padres at Brewers

Updated
Rank11
R/G5.0
RA/G4.6
42.7%57.3%
Padres WinBrewers Win
3.31Projected Runs 4.07
7Final Score 0
Rank3
R/G5.3
RA/G3.8
Rank11
R/G5.0
RA/G4.6
Rank3
R/G5.3
RA/G3.8

Pitching

Joe Musgrove (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
95-01.860.983

Corbin Burnes (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
103-21.950.82

Last 5 Games

San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 4-5 at Milwaukee BrewersSDP: Sean Manaea • MIL: Adrian Houser-104
L 2-5 at St. Louis CardinalsSDP: Yu Darvish • STL: Dakota Hudson-129
L 2-3 at St. Louis CardinalsSDP: Blake Snell • STL: Adam Wainwright+114
L 3-6 at St. Louis CardinalsSDP: Nick Martinez • STL: Packy Naughton+114
W 2-4 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Roansy Contreras • SDP: MacKenzie Gore-174
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 4-5 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Sean Manaea • MIL: Adrian Houser-101
L 3-4 at Chicago CubsMIL: Jason Alexander • CHC: Kyle Hendricks-107
L 7-8 at Chicago CubsMIL: Eric Lauer • CHC: Justin Steele-125
W 3-1 at Chicago CubsMIL: Aaron Ashby • CHC: Drew Smyly-125
W 7-6 at Chicago CubsMIL: Ethan Small • CHC: Matt Swarmer-128

Injuries

San Diego Padres

Status
  • Wil Myers10-day IL
  • 1BMatt BeatyUnknown
  • PMike ClevingerUnknown

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • SSWilly Adames10-day IL
  • 3BMichael Brosseau10-day IL
  • -Jean Carlos MejiaUnknown
  • -Jandel GustaveUnknown
  • PAngel PerdomoUnknown
  • PFreddy PeraltaUnknown
  • PBrandon WoodruffUnknown
  • RFHunter Renfroe10-day IL
  • COmar NarvaezUnknown
  • PJustin Topa60-day IL
NW 9 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee
WindO/U Effect
To CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)71°68°64°61°
Humidity35%41%50%57%
Precipitation1%1%1%1%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNW 9 mphNW 8 mphNW 6 mphNW 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+135+141+152+155+150+152+155+154.3
Brewers-145-170-165-165-165-165-165-154.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+133+155+155+155+149+150+155+154.3
Brewers-145-170-171-170-163-160-160-154.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Padres ML
Brewers ML moved from -151 to -161

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Padres ML
Brewers ML moved from -160 to -170

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+1½-170+1½-165+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160+1½-149
Brewers-1½+150-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+149
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+1½-175+1½-150+1½-162+1½-160+1½-165+1½-165+1½-150+1½-149
Brewers-1½+155-1½+130-1½+143-1½+140-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+149

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7+105o6½-105o6½-113o6½-110o6½-113o6½-113o6½-105o6½+100
Underu7-125u6½-115u6½-107u6½-110u6½-107u6½-107u6½-107u6½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7+105o6½-120o6½-110o6½-110o6½-120o6½-120o6½-110o6½+100
Underu7-125u6½+100u6½-110u6½-110u6½+100u6½+100u6½+100u6½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u6½+100 to u6½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u6½+100 to u6½-110