Orioles at Red Sox

Updated

Baltimore Orioles

(17-10)
Rank5
R/G5.6
RA/G4.3
53.6%46.4%
Orioles WinRed Sox Win
4.03Projected Runs 3.65
7Final Score 1

Boston Red Sox

(16-13)
Rank13
R/G4.8
RA/G3.7
Rank5
R/G5.6
RA/G4.3
Rank13
R/G4.8
RA/G3.7

Pitching

Corbin Burnes (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-02.310.857

Brayan Bello (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-05.41.1

Last 5 Games

Baltimore Orioles
Money Line
L 2-3 at Pittsburgh PiratesBAL: Dean Kremer • PIT: Marco Gonzales-109
L 4-5 at Pittsburgh PiratesBAL: Tyler Wells • PIT: Bailey Falter-129
W 5-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesBAL: Grayson Rodriguez • PIT: Jared Jones-114
W 3-4 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Cole Ragans • BAL: Corbin Burnes-156
L 4-1 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Alec Marsh • BAL: Cole Irvin-150
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 12-2 at Los Angeles AngelsBOS: Tanner Houck • LAA: Chase Silseth-110
L 1-2 at Los Angeles AngelsBOS: Garrett Whitlock • LAA: Reid Detmers+104
W 8-6 at Los Angeles AngelsBOS: Kutter Crawford • LAA: Griffin Canning-106
W 1-0 at Oakland AthleticsBOS: Nick Pivetta • OAK: Ross Stripling-160
W 5-4 at Oakland AthleticsBOS: Brayan Bello • OAK: Alex Wood-145

Injuries

Baltimore Orioles

Status
  • PCionel Perez15-day IL
  • PKyle Bradish15-day IL
  • PJohn Means15-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • -Liam Hendriks60-day IL
  • -Bryan Mata15-day IL
  • SSTrevor Story10-day IL
  • 2BVaughn Grissom10-day IL
  • PNick Pivetta15-day IL
  • LFRob Refsnyder10-day IL
  • PChris Murphy60-day IL
E 9 mph
Fenway Park, Boston
WindO/U Effect
From RightModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)59°57°54°53°
Humidity39%43%47%50%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindE 9 mphE 9 mphE 10 mphE 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles-125-123-135-128-124-128-123-122.4
Red Sox+115+113+113+118+114+118+118+122.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles-131-127-122-131-127-123-122-122.4
Red Sox+121+117+112+116+117+113+117+122.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Orioles: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from -119 to -125
Red Sox ML moved from +115 to +106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Orioles: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from -131 to -140
Red Sox ML moved from +123 to +115

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles-1½+125-1½+137-1½+125-1½+140-1½+140-1½+135-1½+140-1½+143
Red Sox+1½-145+1½-153+1½-145+1½-160+1½-160+1½-155+1½-145+1½-143
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles-1½+130-1½+135-1½+141-1½+130-1½+135-1½+140-1½+141-1½+143
Red Sox+1½-150+1½-155+1½-160+1½-150+1½-155+1½-160+1½-150+1½-143

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8-113o8-120o8-116o8-115o8-116o8-113o8-105
Underu8½+100u8-103u8+100u8-104u8-105u8-104u8+100u8+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8-120o8-115o8-130o8-110o8-115o8-110o8-105
Underu8½-115u8+100u8-105u8+110u8-110u8-105u8+110u8+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-108 to o8-115
The Under moved from u8-106 to u8-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-125
The Under moved from u8+105 to u8-105
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