Tigers at Pirates

Updated

Detroit Tigers

(18-14)
Rank14
R/G4.0
RA/G3.7
47.6%52.4%
Tigers WinPirates Win
4.10Projected Runs 4.36
5Final Score 3

Pittsburgh Pirates

(14-19)
Rank23
R/G3.6
RA/G4.2
Rank14
R/G4.0
RA/G3.7
Rank23
R/G3.6
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Casey Mize (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-06.231.615

Martín Pérez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-02.451.545

Last 5 Games

Detroit Tigers
Money Line
L 4-7 at Pittsburgh PiratesDET: Reese Olson • PIT: Mitch Keller+121
L 7-1 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Joe Boyle • DET: Jack Flaherty-200
L 4-0 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Paul Blackburn • DET: Kenta Maeda-140
W 4-5 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: JP Sears • DET: Tarik Skubal-235
L 1-2 at New York MetsDET: Matt Manning • NYM: José Butto+110
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 4-7 vs Detroit TigersDET: Reese Olson • PIT: Mitch Keller-122
W 2-3 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Dean Kremer • PIT: Marco Gonzales+111
W 4-5 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Tyler Wells • PIT: Bailey Falter+129
L 5-2 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Grayson Rodriguez • PIT: Jared Jones+114
W 7-4 at Washington NationalsPIT: Martín Pérez • WSN: Josiah Gray-115

Injuries

Detroit Tigers

Status
  • 2BAndy Ibanez10-day IL
  • PSawyer Gipson-Long15-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • CYasmani Grandal10-day IL
  • CJason Delay10-day IL
  • PCarmen Mlodzinski15-day IL
  • PColin Holderman15-day IL
  • 2BJi-Hwan Bae10-day IL
SSW 7 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)67°70°71°73°
Humidity65%60%57%53%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindSSW 7 mphSSW 8 mphSSW 9 mphSSW 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers+115+105+104+104+106+104+106+108.7
Pirates-125-115-124-114-116-114-114-108.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers+115+110+108+118+108+107+118+108.7
Pirates-125-120-118-133-118-117-117-108.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tigers: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tigers: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Tigers: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tigers: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tigers: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tigers ML moved from +111 to +103
No Steam Moves On Pirates ML

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Tigers: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tigers: 10.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Tigers: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tigers: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tigers: 80.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tigers ML moved from +117 to +108
Pirates ML moved from -128 to -135

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers+1½-185+1½-168+1½-165+1½-172+1½-175+1½-172+1½-165+1½-159
Pirates-1½+160-1½+152-1½+140-1½+152-1½+155-1½+152-1½+152-1½+159
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers+1½-190+1½-170+1½-165+1½-170+1½-175+1½-170+1½-165+1½-159
Pirates-1½+170-1½+150-1½+146-1½+150-1½+155-1½+150-1½+155-1½+159

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8½-103o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½-103o8½+104
Underu8½-110u8½-113u8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8½-113u8½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8½-115o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½+104
Underu8½-105u8½-105u8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8½-105u8½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½-107 to u8½-116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½-105 to u8½-120
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