Marlins at Braves

Updated
Rank27
R/G3.4
RA/G5.2
40.8%59.2%
Marlins WinBraves Win
3.96Projected Runs 4.93
6Final Score 5
Rank1
R/G6.0
RA/G4.1
Rank27
R/G3.4
RA/G5.2
Rank1
R/G6.0
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Nick Neidert (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-02.081.846

Charlie Morton (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-13.271.182

Last 5 Games

Miami Marlins
Money Line
W 14-8 at Atlanta BravesMIA: Pablo Lopez • ATL: Max Fried+152
W 5-3 at Atlanta BravesMIA: Sandy Alcantara • ATL: Huascar Ynoa+125
L 5-6 at New York MetsMIA: John Curtiss • NYM: Marcus Stroman+185
W 3-0 at New York MetsMIA: Trevor Rogers • NYM: Jacob deGrom+240
L 2-3 at New York MetsMIA: Nick Neidert • NYM: Taijuan Walker+168
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
L 14-8 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Pablo Lopez • ATL: Max Fried-158
L 5-3 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Sandy Alcantara • ATL: Huascar Ynoa-132
L 7-6 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Matt Moore • ATL: Drew Smyly-163
W 4-5 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Zach Eflin • ATL: Ian Anderson-134
W 1-8 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Zack Wheeler • ATL: Charlie Morton-122

Injuries

Miami Marlins

Status
  • PJorge Guzman10-day IL
  • RFJesus Sanchez10-day IL

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • PMike Soroka10-day IL
  • PChris Martin10-day IL
  • LFCristian Pache10-day IL
  • PMax Fried10-day IL
  • PTouki Toussaint60-day IL
W 5 mph
SunTrust Park, Atlanta
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)66°64°65°66°
Humidity80%90%80%72%
Precipitation2%2%3%12%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindW 5 mphWSW 5 mphSW 8 mphWNW 9 mph
Alfonso Marquez
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home UmpireLean Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+170+213+210+222+213+222+222-
Braves-200-240-250-248-248-248-240-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+180+210+214+225+220+220+225-
Braves-200-250-238-255-260-250-238-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 40.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Braves: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 10.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +222 to +213
Braves ML moved from -250 to -256

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 40.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Braves: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +215 to +205
Braves ML moved from -240 to -250

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-120+1½-101+1½+105+1½+105+1½+105+1½+105+1½+105-
Braves-1½+100-1½-119-1½-125-1½-125-1½-125-1½-125-1½-119-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-120+1½+105+1½+100+1½+105+1½+100+1½+105+1½+105-
Braves-1½-100-1½-125-1½-118-1½-125-1½-120-1½-125-1½-118-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8½-115o8½-110o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105-
Underu8½-120u8½-105u8½-110u8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8½-105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-100o8½-110o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-110o8½-110-
Underu8½-120u8½-110u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½-110u8½-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-122 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½-102 to u8½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+100 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½-102 to u8½-110