Marlins at Mets

Updated
Rank27
R/G3.6
RA/G5.6
30.2%69.8%
Marlins WinMets Win
3.13Projected Runs 5.15
3Final Score 0
Rank11
R/G5.0
RA/G4.0
Rank27
R/G3.6
RA/G5.6
Rank11
R/G5.0
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Trevor Rogers (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-14.51.5

Jacob deGrom (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-00.00.833

Last 5 Games

Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 2-3 at New York MetsMIA: Nick Neidert • NYM: Taijuan Walker+168
L 7-0 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Jack Flaherty • MIA: Pablo Lopez+105
L 4-2 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: John Gant • MIA: Sandy Alcantara-125
L 4-1 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Daniel Ponce De Leon • MIA: Trevor Rogers-110
W 7-12 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Rich Hill • MIA: Elieser Hernandez-102
New York Mets
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Nick Neidert • NYM: Taijuan Walker-180
L 2-8 at Philadelphia PhilliesNYM: David Peterson • PHI: Aaron Nola+158
W 8-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesNYM: Marcus Stroman • PHI: Chase Anderson-123
L 3-5 at Philadelphia PhilliesNYM: Jacob deGrom • PHI: Matt Moore-188
L 5-15 at Washington NationalsNYM: Seth Lugo • WSN: Austin Voth-116

Injuries

Miami Marlins

Status
  • PJorge Guzman10-day IL
  • RFJesus Sanchez10-day IL
  • CJorge AlfaroUnknown
  • 2BJon BertiRest

New York Mets

Status
  • LFJose Martinez60-day IL
  • PSeth Lugo10-day IL
  • PNoah Syndergaard60-day IL
  • 3BJ.D. Davis10-day IL
  • PCarlos Carrasco10-day IL
  • PDrew Smith10-day IL
  • PDellin Betances10-day IL
S 5 mph
Citi Field, Flushing
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)59°61°61°62°
Humidity75%72%72%72%
Precipitation3%2%2%1%
ConditionOvercastOvercastMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindS 5 mphS 6 mphS 7 mphS 6 mph
Brian O'Nora
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home UmpireLean Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+253+247+235+238+226+238+247-
Mets-285-280-285-266-266-266-266-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+242+230+232+235+230+240+240-
Mets-270-270-258-270-280-270-258-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 20.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Mets: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 20.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +253 to +246
Mets ML moved from -258 to -265

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 20.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Mets: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 10.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +242 to +232
Mets ML moved from -270 to -280

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½+100+1½+105+1½+105+1½+105+1½+105+1½+105+1½+105-
Mets-1½-120-1½-125-1½-125-1½-125-1½-125-1½-125-1½-125-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½+110+1½+105+1½+100+1½+110+1½+110+1½+105+1½+110-
Mets-1½-128-1½-125-1½-118-1½-130-1½-130-1½-125-1½-118-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-115o6½-115o6½-115o6½-115o6½-115o6½-115o6½-115-
Underu7-105u6½-105u6½-105u6½-105u6½-105u6½-105u6½-105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-110o6½-115o6½-115o6½-115o6½-120o6½-120o6½-115-
Underu7-110u6½-105u6½-105u6½-105u6½+100u6½+100u6½+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7+112 to o6½-119
The Under moved from u6½+100 to u6½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6½-110 to o6½-120
The Under moved from u6½+100 to u6½-105