Reds at Guardians

Updated
Rank14
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
41.5%58.5%
Reds WinGuardians Win
3.50Projected Runs 4.39
0Final Score 2
Rank12
R/G5.3
RA/G3.4
Rank14
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
Rank12
R/G5.3
RA/G3.4

Pitching

Luis Castillo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-24.761.412

Mike Clevinger (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-13.241.32

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 4-2 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Shane Bieber • CIN: Tyler Mahle+150
W 2-3 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Zach Plesac • CIN: Sonny Gray-145
W 4-0 at Detroit TigersCIN: Trevor Bauer • DET: Daniel Norris-185
W 4-3 at Detroit TigersCIN: Anthony DeSclafani • DET: Rony Garcia-145
L 2-7 at Detroit TigersCIN: Luis Castillo • DET: Spencer Turnbull-170
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 4-2 at Cincinnati RedsCLE: Shane Bieber • CIN: Tyler Mahle-157
L 2-3 at Cincinnati RedsCLE: Zach Plesac • CIN: Sonny Gray+138
L 1-3 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Aaron Civale • MIN: Tyler Clippard+114
L 0-3 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Carlos Carrasco • MIN: Kenta Maeda+116
L 1-4 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Mike Clevinger • MIN: Randy Dobnak-110

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PWade Miley10-day IL
  • 1BJoey Votto10-day IL
  • PMatt Bowman60-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • CRoberto Perez10-day IL
  • CFTyler Naquin10-day IL
NNE 3 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
From RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)72°71°70°70°
Humidity52%52%51%51%
Precipitation0%1%1%1%
ConditionClearClearPartly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindNNE 3 mphENE 2 mphENE 3 mphENE 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+115+148+147+155+150+147+155-
Guardians-125-173-159-165-165-159-159-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+108+152+150+151+150+152+152-
Guardians-118-165-165-162-165-162-162-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +153 to +147
Guardians ML moved from -162 to -168

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +158 to +152
Guardians ML moved from -165 to -175

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-190+1½-130+1½-140+1½-135+1½-135+1½-140+1½-130-
Guardians-1½+165-1½+110-1½+120-1½+115-1½+115-1½+120-1½+120-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-185+1½-140+1½-144+1½-130+1½-140+1½-130+1½-130-
Guardians-1½+165-1½+120-1½+126-1½+110-1½+120-1½+110-1½+126-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8½-110o8½-101o8½-105-o8½-101o8½-101-
Underu8-115u8½-110u8½-119u8½-115-u8½-119u8½-110-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8½+100o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½-115o8½+100-
Underu8-115u8½-120u8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u8½-105u8½-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½-105 to u8½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110