Guardians at Reds

Updated

Cleveland Guardians

(17-7)
Rank12
R/G5.3
RA/G3.4
48.7%51.3%
Guardians WinReds Win
4.12Projected Runs 4.25
2Final Score 3

Cincinnati Reds

(14-10)
Rank14
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
Rank12
R/G5.3
RA/G3.4
Rank14
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Zach Plesac (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-11.290.667

Sonny Gray (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
43-12.250.917

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 1-3 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Aaron Civale • MIN: Tyler Clippard+114
L 0-3 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Carlos Carrasco • MIN: Kenta Maeda+116
L 1-4 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Mike Clevinger • MIN: Randy Dobnak-110
W 2-0 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Shane Bieber • MIN: Jose Berrios+113
L 4-0 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Lucas Giolito • CLE: Zach Plesac+110
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 4-0 at Detroit TigersCIN: Trevor Bauer • DET: Daniel Norris-185
W 4-3 at Detroit TigersCIN: Anthony DeSclafani • DET: Rony Garcia-145
L 2-7 at Detroit TigersCIN: Luis Castillo • DET: Spencer Turnbull-170
W 7-12 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • CIN: Sonny Gray-108
L 8-5 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Alec Mills • CIN: Tyler Mahle-125

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • CRoberto Perez10-day IL
  • CFTyler Naquin10-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • 1BJoey Votto10-day IL
  • PMatt Bowman60-day IL
  • PWade Miley10-day IL
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
UnknownNo Effect
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+117+140+140+139+139+140+140-
Reds-127-160-152-149-149-152-149-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+110+137+137+138+140+135+138-
Reds-120-147-150-148-155-145-145-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 40.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Guardians: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Guardians ML
Reds ML moved from -145 to -154

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 40.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Guardians: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +139 to +130
Reds ML moved from -147 to -155

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-190+1½-145+1½-155+1½-150+1½-150+1½-155+1½-145-
Reds-1½+165-1½+125-1½+135-1½+130-1½+130-1½+135-1½+135-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-190+1½-145+1½-156+1½-155+1½-145+1½-155+1½-145-
Reds-1½+170-1½+125-1½+137-1½+135-1½+125-1½+135-1½+137-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8-105o8-119o8-115-o8-119o8-105-
Underu8½-115u8-115u8-101u8-105-u8-101u8-101-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8-115o8-122o8-115o8-125o8-115o8-115-
Underu8½-120u8-105u8+102u8-105u8+105u8-105u8+105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-105 to o8-115
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8-122
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-120
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