Royals at Guardians

Updated

Kansas City Royals

(15-10)
Rank22
R/G4.7
RA/G3.2
36.3%63.7%
Royals WinGuardians Win
3.41Projected Runs 4.85
2Final Score 5

Cleveland Guardians

(17-7)
Rank12
R/G5.3
RA/G3.4
Rank22
R/G4.7
RA/G3.2
Rank12
R/G5.3
RA/G3.4

Pitching

Brad Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
53-11.931.036

Zach Plesac (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
42-11.330.667

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Royals
Money Line
L 8-2 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Dallas Keuchel • KCR: Matt Harvey+200
L 5-3 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Lucas Giolito • KCR: Kris Bubic+205
L 7-4 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Dane Dunning • KCR: Brady Singer+152
L 11-6 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Dylan Cease • KCR: Danny Duffy+130
L 5-0 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Triston McKenzie • KCR: Jakob Junis+150
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brett Anderson • CLE: Shane Bieber-260
W 3-4 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Woodruff • CLE: Aaron Civale-110
L 7-1 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Corbin Burnes • CLE: Carlos Carrasco-140
W 5-0 at Kansas City RoyalsCLE: Triston McKenzie • KCR: Jakob Junis-157
W 10-1 at Kansas City RoyalsCLE: Zach Plesac • KCR: Matt Harvey-190

Injuries

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • CSalvador Perez10-day IL
  • RFJorge SolerRest
  • PIan Kennedy10-day IL
  • CFFranchy Cordero45-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • CFDelino DeShieldsDoubtful
  • CRoberto PerezUnknown
  • CAustin HedgesRest
SSE 4 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)69°69°72°74°
Humidity88%90%87%81%
Precipitation30%46%36%22%
ConditionRainRainRainOvercast
WindSSE 4 mphSE 3 mphS 7 mphSSW 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+196+180+190+190+195+190+195-
Guardians-215-210-208-210-225-208-208-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+180-+190+195+190+190+195-
Guardians-200--210-225-220-210-210-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 30.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Royals: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +197 to +188
Guardians ML moved from -205 to -215

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 30.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Royals: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +181 to +172
Guardians ML moved from -210 to -220

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-115+1½-105+1½-113+1½-110+1½-110+1½-113+1½-105-
Guardians-1½-105-1½-115-1½-107-1½-110-1½-110-1½-107-1½-107-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-120-+1½-108+1½-105+1½-110+1½-110+1½-105-
Guardians-1½+100--1½-110-1½-115-1½-110-1½-110-1½-110-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8-105o8-127o8½-110o8-120o8-127o8-105-
Underu8½-120u8-115u8+107u8½-110u8+100u8+107u8½-110-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110-o8-115o8-115o8-120o8-110o8-110-
Underu8-110-u8-105u8-105u8+100u8-110u8+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8½-110
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-110
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