Royals at Guardians

Updated

Kansas City Royals

(15-10)
Rank22
R/G4.7
RA/G3.2
41.2%58.8%
Royals WinGuardians Win
4.59Projected Runs 5.52
3Final Score 7

Cleveland Guardians

(17-7)
Rank12
R/G5.3
RA/G3.4
Rank22
R/G4.7
RA/G3.2
Rank12
R/G5.3
RA/G3.4

Pitching

Jon Heasley (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Zach Plesac (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
81-45.41.431

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Royals
Money Line
L 3-7 at Minnesota TwinsKCR: Zack Greinke • MIN: Sonny Gray+170
W 7-3 at Minnesota TwinsKCR: Brady Singer • MIN: Chris Archer+152
L 7-10 at Minnesota TwinsKCR: Brad Keller • MIN: Bailey Ober+167
W 3-2 at Minnesota TwinsKCR: Daniel Lynch • MIN: Devin Smeltzer+170
L 6-8 at Arizona DiamondbacksKCR: Jon Heasley • ARI: Zac Gallen+190
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 1-2 at Detroit TigersCLE: Triston McKenzie • DET: Elvin Rodriguez-157
W 8-1 at Detroit TigersCLE: Shane Bieber • DET: Alex Faedo-155
L 3-4 at Detroit TigersCLE: Konnor Pilkington • DET: Tarik Skubal+125
L 1-2 at Houston AstrosCLE: Cal Quantrill • HOU: Cristian Javier+170
L 3-7 at Houston AstrosCLE: Zach Plesac • HOU: Framber Valdez+205

Injuries

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • CCam Gallagher10-day IL
  • SSAdalberto Mondesi60-day IL
  • CFKyle IsbelUnknown
  • PZack GreinkeUnknown
  • -Amir Garrett10-day IL
  • PRonald BolanosOut
  • CFMichael A. TaylorOut
  • CFEdward Olivares10-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PAaron CivaleUnknown
  • DHFranmil Reyes10-day IL
S 10 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
To CenterVery High on Over
 
Temp (°F)88°87°84°82°
Humidity41%43%50%57%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearPartly Cloudy
WindS 10 mphS 10 mphS 10 mphSSW 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+155+130+133+133+132+133+133+138.0
Guardians-165-155-144-143-144-144-143-138.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+145+138+137+137+138+137+138+138.0
Guardians-155-148-150-147-150-147-147-138.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Royals: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +132 to +126
Guardians ML moved from -152 to -158

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Royals: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +145 to +138
No Steam Moves On Guardians ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-140+1½-150+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-133
Guardians-1½+120-1½+130-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-1½+130-1½+133
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-150+1½-140+1½-141+1½-140+1½-140+1½-145+1½-140+1½-133
Guardians-1½+130-1½+120-1½+123-1½+120-1½+120-1½+125-1½+125-1½+133

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o10½-115o10½-120o10½-115o10½-116o10½-120o10½-115o10½-104
Underu8½-105u10½-105u10½+100u10½-105u10½-104u10½+100u10½+100u10½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o10½-115o10½-110o10½-115o10½-105o10½-105o10½-105o10½-104
Underu8½-100u10½-105u10½-110u10½-105u10½-115u10½-115u10½-105u10½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-117 to o10-131
The Under moved from u10½-110 to u10½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-120 to o10-130
The Under moved from u10½-110 to u10+100
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