Pirates at Cubs

Updated
Rank24
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
43.7%56.3%
Pirates WinCubs Win
3.91Projected Runs 4.56
5Final Score 6
Rank12
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
Rank24
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
Rank12
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0

Pitching

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
174-106.751.806

Keegan Thompson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
33-33.091.414

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 3-6 at Chicago White SoxPIT: Max Kranick • CHW: Carlos Rodon+313
L 2-4 at Chicago White SoxPIT: Bryse Wilson • CHW: Lucas Giolito+300
W 3-4 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Kwang Hyun Kim • PIT: Wil Crowe+142
L 13-0 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Adam Wainwright • PIT: Steven Brault+170
L 4-3 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: J.A. Happ • PIT: Dillon Peters+155
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 3-0 at Minnesota TwinsCHC: Justin Steele • MIN: Joe Ryan+165
W 3-1 at Minnesota TwinsCHC: Zach Davies • MIN: John Gant+142
L 1-13 at Chicago White SoxCHC: Kyle Hendricks • CHW: Dylan Cease+227
W 7-0 at Chicago White SoxCHC: Alec Mills • CHW: Lance Lynn+281
L 13-17 at Chicago White SoxCHC: Keegan Thompson • CHW: Dallas Keuchel+196

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • 3BMichael Chavis10-day IL
  • 3BKe'Bryan HayesQuestionable
  • PJT Brubaker10-day IL
  • PChase De Jong60-day IL

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • 3BMatt DuffyQuestionable
  • CWillson Contreras10-day IL
  • 2BDavid Bote10-day IL
E 7 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago
WindO/U Effect
From RightSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)72°71°70°70°
Humidity62%62%62%61%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindE 7 mphE 6 mphE 6 mphE 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+139+113+118+119+118+118+119-
Cubs-151-133-128-129-128-128-128-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+126+120+119+118+123+120+123-
Cubs-146-130-130-128-133-130-128-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +131 to +123
Cubs ML moved from -145 to -157

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 30.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +130 to +120
No Steam Moves On Cubs ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-145+1½-170+1½-168+1½-170+1½-168+1½-168+1½-168-
Cubs-1½+125-1½+150-1½+148-1½+150-1½+148-1½+148-1½+150-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-150+1½-165+1½-171+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-165-
Cubs-1½+130-1½+145-1½+151-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+151-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8-115o8-120o8-120o8-120o8-120o8-115-
Underu8½-110u8-105u8+100u8+100u8+100u8+100u8+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8-115o8-118o8-115o8-120o8½-105o8-115-
Underu8½-105u8-105u8-102u8-105u8+100u8½-115u8½-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8-125
The Under moved from u8+100 to u8-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-118
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8-110