Reds at Royals

Updated

Cincinnati Reds

(10-9)
Rank17
R/G5.4
RA/G4.5
48.7%51.3%
Reds WinRoyals Win
3.48Projected Runs 3.62
0Final Score 4

Kansas City Royals

(13-7)
Rank20
R/G5.0
RA/G2.8
Rank17
R/G5.4
RA/G4.5
Rank20
R/G5.0
RA/G2.8

Pitching

Luis Castillo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
40-23.911.435

Brad Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
22-00.00.909

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 1-8 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Chad Kuhl • CIN: Sonny Gray-200
L 9-6 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Trevor Williams • CIN: Anthony DeSclafani-170
L 5-4 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Brad Keller • CIN: Wade Miley-115
W 5-6 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Kris Bubic • CIN: Luis Castillo-180
L 3-9 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Sonny Gray • MIL: Brandon Woodruff+107
Kansas City Royals
Money Line
L 1-4 at Minnesota TwinsKCR: Kris Bubic • MIN: Matt Wisler+161
L 2-4 at Minnesota TwinsKCR: Brady Singer • MIN: Randy Dobnak+170
W 4-2 at Minnesota TwinsKCR: Danny Duffy • MIN: Jose Berrios+170
L 2-4 at Minnesota TwinsKCR: Ian Kennedy • MIN: Jake Odorizzi+170
W 5-4 at Cincinnati RedsKCR: Brad Keller • CIN: Wade Miley+107

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PMatt Bowman60-day IL
  • CFNick Senzel10-day IL
  • RFAristides AquinoRest

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • CFNick Heath10-day IL
  • PRandy Rosario10-day IL
  • PChance Adams10-day IL
  • CSalvador PerezRest
  • CFFranchy Cordero45-day IL
  • PMike Montgomery60-day IL
  • PFoster Griffin60-day IL
  • PJakob Junis10-day IL
  • PGlenn Sparkman60-day IL
ESE 7 mph
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)83°83°82°80°
Humidity53%53%55%58%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindESE 7 mphESE 7 mphESE 7 mphESE 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-150--157-155--157-155-
Royals+139-+145+145-+145+145-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-140--160-150-155-148-148-
Royals+130-+146+140+140+138+146-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Royals: 60.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Reds: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from -137 to -145
No Steam Moves On Royals ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Royals: 60.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Reds: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 40.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from -148 to -155
Royals ML moved from +140 to +133

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-1½+135--1½+121-1½+120--1½+121-1½+121-
Royals+1½-155-+1½-141+1½-140-+1½-141+1½-140-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-1½+140--1½+120-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-
Royals+1½-160-+1½-138+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-138-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-120-o6½-105o6½-105-o6½-105o6½-105-
Underu7+100-u6½-115u6½-115-u6½-115u6½-115-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-115-o6½-102o6½-105o6½-105o6½-115o6½-102-
Underu6½-105-u6½-118u6½-115u6½-115u6½-105u6½-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u6½-110 to u6½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u6½-105 to u6½-115
Cardinals at Cubs
Cubs at Cardinals