Pirates at Reds

Updated
Rank20
R/G4.4
RA/G4.4
32.5%67.5%
Pirates WinReds Win
3.47Projected Runs 5.27
1Final Score 8
Rank17
R/G5.1
RA/G4.4
Rank20
R/G4.4
RA/G4.4
Rank17
R/G5.1
RA/G4.4

Pitching

Chad Kuhl (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-02.01.0

Sonny Gray (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
43-12.250.917

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 9-6 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Trevor Williams • CIN: Anthony DeSclafani+160
L 2-1 vs Detroit TigersDET: Spencer Turnbull • PIT: Steven Brault+132
L 11-5 vs Detroit TigersDET: Ivan Nova • PIT: Derek Holland-135
L 17-13 vs Detroit TigersDET: Matthew Boyd • PIT: Steven Brault+100
W 5-6 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Kenta Maeda • PIT: JT Brubaker+195
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 9-6 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Trevor Williams • CIN: Anthony DeSclafani-170
L 5-4 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Brad Keller • CIN: Wade Miley-115
W 5-6 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Kris Bubic • CIN: Luis Castillo-180
L 3-9 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Sonny Gray • MIL: Brandon Woodruff+107
W 4-1 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Anthony DeSclafani • MIL: Brett Anderson+109

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • CLuke Maile60-day IL
  • PJoe Musgrove10-day IL
  • PNick BurdiOut for Season
  • 3BPhillip Evans60-day IL
  • PKyle Crick10-day IL
  • PMitch Keller10-day IL
  • PMichael FelizOut for Season
  • PClay Holmes60-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • 3BMike Moustakas10-day IL
  • 3BEugenio SuarezRest
  • PMatt Bowman60-day IL
  • RFAristides AquinoRest
NNE 3 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)82°80°78°77°
Humidity71%75%81%86%
Precipitation25%23%18%13%
ConditionPossible Light RainPartly CloudyPartly CloudyHumid and Mostly Cloudy
WindNNE 3 mphN 3 mphNNE 3 mphNE 3 mph
Dan Iassogna
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Home UmpireLean Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+190+180+180+185+185+180+185-
Reds-208-210-196-200-210-196-196-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+175+180+186+180+180+185+186-
Reds-190-200-206-200-200-205-200-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +180 to +168
Reds ML moved from -200 to -210

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +177 to +171
Reds ML moved from -199 to -206

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-115+1½-105+1½-110+1½-115+1½-115+1½-110+1½-105-
Reds-1½-105-1½-115-1½-110-1½-105-1½-105-1½-110-1½-105-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-120+1½-115+1½-110+1½-115+1½-120+1½-110+1½-110-
Reds-1½+100-1½-105-1½-108-1½-105-1½+100-1½-110-1½+100-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+102o8-125o8½+106o8-120o8-120o8½+106o8½+106-
Underu9-122u8+105u8½-126u8+100u8+100u8½-126u8+105-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o8-125o8½+100o8½+100o8-125o8-120o8½+100-
Underu9-120u8+105u8½-120u8½-120u8+105u8+100u8+105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+100 to o8-125
The Under moved from u8+105 to u8½-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+100 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-105