Pirates at Cubs

Updated

Pittsburgh Pirates

(71-91)
Rank25
R/G3.6
RA/G4.0
36.7%63.3%
Pirates WinCubs Win
2.96Projected Runs 4.35
2Final Score 3

Chicago Cubs

(92-70)
Rank6
R/G5.0
RA/G4.2
Rank25
R/G3.6
RA/G4.0
Rank6
R/G5.0
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Andrew Heaney (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
133-43.241.147

Jameson Taillon (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
136-33.540.969

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 2-5 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Cal Quantrill • PIT: Bailey Falter-156
L 3-2 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Sandy Alcántara • PIT: Mitch Keller-142
W 3-10 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Eury Pérez • PIT: Mike Burrows-120
W 1-2 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Cristopher Sanchez • PIT: Paul Skenes-117
W 1-2 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Ranger Suárez • PIT: Andrew Heaney+126
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 2-7 at Philadelphia PhilliesCHC: Ben Brown • PHI: Jesus Luzardo-105
W 8-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesCHC: Colin Rea • PHI: Mick Abel-105
L 3-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesCHC: Matthew Boyd • PHI: Zack Wheeler+114
L 0-4 at Detroit TigersCHC: Cade Horton • DET: Jack Flaherty+113
W 6-1 at Detroit TigersCHC: Jameson Taillon • DET: Tyler Holton-116

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • -Colin Holderman15-day IL
  • 2BEnmanuel ValdezOut for Season
  • PJared JonesOut for Season
  • CJoey BartUnknown

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • -Porter Hodge15-day IL
  • CMiguel Amaya10-day IL
N 11 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WindO/U Effect
From LeftModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)67°66°65°65°
Humidity77%78%78%78%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindN 11 mphN 11 mphN 11 mphN 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+171+179+171+178+182+178+182+184.7
Cubs-190-197-211-198-195-198-195-184.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+173+175+175+190+178+175+190+184.7
Cubs-200-195-196-210-206-195-195-184.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +173 to +166
Cubs ML moved from -206 to -218

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Pirates: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 70.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +187 to +176
Cubs ML moved from -193 to -210

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-125+1½-128+1½-130+1½-125+1½-120+1½-125+1½-120+1½-114
Cubs-1½+105-1½+112-1½+110-1½+105-1½+100-1½+105-1½+112-1½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-130+1½-125+1½-132+1½-115+1½-115+1½-125+1½-115+1½-114
Cubs-1½+110-1½+105-1½+112-1½-105-1½-105-1½+105-1½+112-1½+114

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7-123o7½+105o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7-123o7½+109
Underu7½-110u7+107u7½-125u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½+100o7½+100o7½+105o7½+100o7½+100o7½+105o7½+109
Underu7½-110u7½-120u7½-120u7½-125u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-110 to u7½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-110 to u7½-120
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