Mets at Brewers

Updated
Rank12
R/G4.7
RA/G4.3
54.6%45.4%
Mets WinBrewers Win
4.54Projected Runs 4.06
7Final Score 5
Rank3
R/G5.3
RA/G3.8
Rank12
R/G4.7
RA/G4.3
Rank3
R/G5.3
RA/G3.8

Pitching

Carlos Carrasco (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2615-63.71.291

Aaron Ashby (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
172-104.581.433

Last 5 Games

New York Mets
Money Line
W 7-2 at Milwaukee BrewersNYM: Max Scherzer • MIL: Corbin Burnes+105
W 3-7 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Johan Oviedo • NYM: Jacob deGrom-450
W 1-5 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Bryse Wilson • NYM: Chris Bassitt-300
W 3-4 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • NYM: Taijuan Walker-255
W 1-7 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: JT Brubaker • NYM: Carlos Carrasco-255
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
L 7-2 vs New York MetsNYM: Max Scherzer • MIL: Corbin Burnes-112
L 12-8 vs New York YankeesNYY: Gerrit Cole • MIL: Jason Alexander+164
W 1-4 vs New York YankeesNYY: Jameson Taillon • MIL: Brandon Woodruff-133
W 6-7 vs New York YankeesNYY: Frankie Montas • MIL: Adrian Houser+104
L 1-4 at St. Louis CardinalsMIL: Corbin Burnes • STL: Adam Wainwright-120

Injuries

New York Mets

Status
  • PTommy HunterUnknown
  • RFStarling Marte10-day IL
  • 3BBrett BatyOut
  • -Bryce Montes de OcaUnknown
  • PMychal Givens10-day IL

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • CAlex Jackson60-day IL
  • RFHunter RenfroeRest
  • PEric LauerUnknown
  • LFJonathan Davis10-day IL
  • PAaron AshbyNamed Starter
  • PFreddy PeraltaUnknown
SSW 7 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)78°77°76°75°
Humidity82%86%87%87%
Precipitation2%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyClearClearClear
WindSSW 7 mphSSW 4 mphSSE 5 mphS 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-115-121-121-118-118-118-118-114.5
Brewers-105+112+101+108+108+108+112+114.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-107-115-118-120-120-120-115-114.5
Brewers-103+105+108+110+110+110+110+114.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from -107 to -116
Brewers ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from -114 to -120
No Steam Moves On Brewers ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-1½+145-1½+142-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+142-1½+148
Brewers+1½-170+1½-158+1½-165+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160+1½-158+1½-148
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-1½+145-1½+135-1½+138-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+138-1½+148
Brewers+1½-165+1½-155+1½-157+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-148

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o8-118o8-120o8-122o8-122o8-122o8-118o8-109
Underu7½-110u8+102u8+100u8+102u8+102u8+102u8+102u8+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o8-115o8-120o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-109
Underu7½-110u8-105u8+100u8-105u8-105u8-105u8+100u8+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-108 to o8-120
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-125 to o8-115
No Steam Moves On Under