Twins at Guardians

Updated
Rank16
R/G3.5
RA/G4.4
45.8%54.2%
Twins WinGuardians Win
3.89Projected Runs 4.34
8Final Score 5
Rank12
R/G5.6
RA/G3.3
Rank16
R/G3.5
RA/G4.4
Rank12
R/G5.6
RA/G3.3

Pitching

J.A. Happ (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
72-25.351.274

Zach Plesac (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
94-33.930.982

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 3-5 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Kenta Maeda • CLE: Shane Bieber+152
W 10-0 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Randy Dobnak • CLE: Triston McKenzie+120
W 5-3 at Los Angeles AngelsMIN: Jose Berrios • LAA: Griffin Canning-115
L 1-7 at Los Angeles AngelsMIN: Lewis Thorpe • LAA: Alex Cobb+100
L 2-1 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Lucas Giolito • MIN: Matt Shoemaker+115
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 3-5 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Kenta Maeda • CLE: Shane Bieber-162
L 10-0 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Randy Dobnak • CLE: Triston McKenzie-125
W 3-2 at Los Angeles AngelsCLE: Aaron Civale • LAA: Shohei Ohtani+110
W 6-5 at Los Angeles AngelsCLE: Zach Plesac • LAA: Andrew Heaney+105
L 4-7 at Los Angeles AngelsCLE: Sam Hentges • LAA: Patrick Sandoval+125

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • SSJorge PolancoUnknown
  • CFJake Cave60-day IL
  • CFByron Buxton10-day IL
  • DHNelson CruzUnknown
  • -Kenta Maeda10-day IL
  • PDevin Smeltzer10-day IL
  • PMichael Pineda10-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • LFJosh NaylorRest
  • DHFranmil Reyes10-day IL
  • CRoberto Perez10-day IL
W 7 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)77°79°79°79°
Humidity63%61%61%58%
Precipitation1%1%1%1%
ConditionPartly CloudyClearMostly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindW 7 mphW 8 mphWNW 9 mphWNW 8 mph
Jose Navas
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+117+126+122+129+129+129+129-
Guardians-127-140-142-139-139-139-139-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+116+128+124+129+129+127+129-
Guardians-127-138-136-139-140-137-136-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Twins ML
Guardians ML moved from -133 to -142

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +129 to -100
Guardians ML moved from -120 to -139

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-165+1½-160+1½-165+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160-
Guardians-1½+145-1½+140-1½+145-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+145-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-175+1½-165+1½-165+1½-160+1½-165+1½-160+1½-160-
Guardians-1½+155-1½+145-1½+146-1½+140-1½+145-1½+140-1½+146-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o9-101o9+100o8½-122o8½-122o8½-122o8½-122-
Underu8½-110u9-119u9-120u8½+102u8½+102u8½+102u9-119-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o9+100o9+100o9-100o9-105o9+100o9+100-
Underu8½-105u9-120u9-120u9-120u9-115u9-120u9-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-118 to o8½-127
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-105
The Under moved from u9-110 to u8½+100