Pirates at Padres

Updated
Rank25
R/G3.6
RA/G4.0
37.4%62.6%
Pirates WinPadres Win
3.17Projected Runs 4.49
5Final Score 0
Rank9
R/G4.4
RA/G3.9
Rank25
R/G3.6
RA/G4.0
Rank9
R/G4.4
RA/G3.9

Pitching

Bailey Falter (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
113-33.471.14

Dylan Cease (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
111-34.581.254

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 2-3 at San Diego PadresPIT: Mitch Keller • SDP: Nick Pivetta+165
W 10-1 at Arizona DiamondbacksPIT: Paul Skenes • ARI: Zac Gallen+121
W 9-6 at Arizona DiamondbacksPIT: Mike Burrows • ARI: Corbin Burnes+235
L 0-5 at Arizona DiamondbacksPIT: Andrew Heaney • ARI: Ryne Nelson+175
L 6-5 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Logan Henderson • PIT: Bailey Falter+145
San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • SDP: Nick Pivetta-178
L 10-8 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Sandy Alcántara • SDP: Kyle Hart-150
W 6-8 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Max Meyer • SDP: Stephen Kolek-158
W 3-4 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Ryan Weathers • SDP: Randy Vásquez-145
W 5-3 at Atlanta BravesSDP: Dylan Cease • ATL: Spencer Schwellenbach+140

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PJustin Lawrence60-day IL
  • SSNick Gonzales60-day IL
  • PDauri Moreta60-day IL
  • -Colin Holderman15-day IL
  • PJohan Oviedo60-day IL
  • PJared JonesOut
  • 2BEnmanuel ValdezOut
  • -Tim Mayza60-day IL

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PMichael King15-day IL
  • PJhony BritoOut for Season
  • RFJason Heyward10-day IL
  • PYu Darvish15-day IL
NW 4 mph
Petco Park, San Diego, CA
WindO/U Effect
From LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)76°75°72°70°
Humidity65%66%71%78%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindNW 4 mphNW 5 mphWNW 5 mphWNW 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+189+195+180+184+190+184+195+190.9
Padres-210-215-220-205-210-205-205-190.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+186+190+195+195+192+191+195+190.9
Padres-215-220-220-215-225-212-212-190.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +185 to +176
Padres ML moved from -230 to -240

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +200 to +192
Padres ML moved from -228 to -235

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-125+1½-108+1½-115+1½-116+1½-115+1½-116+1½-108+1½-105
Padres-1½+105-1½-108-1½-105-1½-104-1½-105-1½-104-1½-104-1½+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-115+1½-115+1½-115+1½-115+1½-115+1½-115+1½-115+1½-105
Padres-1½-105-1½-105-1½-105-1½-105-1½-105-1½-105-1½-105-1½+105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o8+102o7½-115o7½-115o7½-120o7½-115o7½-115o7½-104
Underu7½-110u8-118u7½-105u7½-105u7½+100u7½-105u7½+100u7½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½-125o7½-125o7½-110o7½-110o7½-104
Underu7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u7½+105u7½+105u7½-110u7½+105u7½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+100 to o8-110
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o7½-125
The Under moved from u7½+105 to u7½-110