Pirates at Padres

Updated
Rank25
R/G3.6
RA/G4.0
35.0%65.0%
Pirates WinPadres Win
2.61Projected Runs 4.17
2Final Score 3
Rank9
R/G4.4
RA/G3.9
Rank25
R/G3.6
RA/G4.0
Rank9
R/G4.4
RA/G3.9

Pitching

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
111-63.661.297

Nick Pivetta (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
105-22.721.012

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 10-1 at Arizona DiamondbacksPIT: Paul Skenes • ARI: Zac Gallen+121
W 9-6 at Arizona DiamondbacksPIT: Mike Burrows • ARI: Corbin Burnes+235
L 0-5 at Arizona DiamondbacksPIT: Andrew Heaney • ARI: Ryne Nelson+175
L 6-5 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Logan Henderson • PIT: Bailey Falter+145
W 1-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Quinn Priester • PIT: Mitch Keller+100
San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 10-8 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Sandy Alcántara • SDP: Kyle Hart-150
W 6-8 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Max Meyer • SDP: Stephen Kolek-158
W 3-4 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Ryan Weathers • SDP: Randy Vásquez-145
W 5-3 at Atlanta BravesSDP: Dylan Cease • ATL: Spencer Schwellenbach+140
L 1-7 at Atlanta BravesSDP: Sean Reynolds • ATL: Grant Holmes+137

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PJustin Lawrence60-day IL
  • 2BEnmanuel ValdezOut
  • -Colin Holderman15-day IL
  • PJared JonesOut
  • -Tim Mayza60-day IL
  • SSNick Gonzales60-day IL
  • PDauri Moreta60-day IL
  • PJohan Oviedo60-day IL

San Diego Padres

Status
  • RFJason Heyward10-day IL
  • PJhony BritoOut for Season
  • PMichael King15-day IL
  • PYu Darvish15-day IL
WSW 4 mph
Petco Park, San Diego, CA
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)72°71°69°67°
Humidity70%72%77%82%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindWSW 4 mphWNW 5 mphWNW 5 mphWNW 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+171+158+157+155+166+157+166+163.2
Padres-190-172-192-172-176-174-172-163.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+165+165+163+163+165+165+165+163.2
Padres-190-185-182-178-190-180-178-163.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Padres: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 30.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +162 to +154
Padres ML moved from -188 to -194

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Padres: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +175 to +165
Padres ML moved from -190 to -200

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-140+1½-138+1½-135+1½-141+1½-140+1½-141+1½-135+1½-129
Padres-1½+120-1½+122-1½+115-1½+121-1½+120-1½+121-1½+122-1½+129
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-130+1½-130+1½-140+1½-145+1½-135+1½-140+1½-130+1½-129
Padres-1½+110-1½+110-1½+120-1½+125-1½+115-1½+120-1½+125-1½+129

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-105o7½+102o7½+100o7½+104o7½+100o7½+104o7½+104o7½+113
Underu7½-115u7½-118u7½-120u7½-124u7½-120u7½-124u7½-118u7½-113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-105o7½-105o7½+100o7½-105o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+113
Underu7½-115u7½-115u7½-120u7½-115u7½-120u7½-120u7½-115u7½-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+102 to o7½-108
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under