Twins at Red Sox

Updated
Rank16
R/G3.4
RA/G4.6
45.6%54.4%
Twins WinRed Sox Win
5.36Projected Runs 5.82
0Final Score 4
Rank22
R/G4.2
RA/G4.0
Rank16
R/G3.4
RA/G4.6
Rank22
R/G4.2
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Sonny Gray (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-03.861.286

Tanner Houck (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-08.12.7

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 8-4 at Boston Red SoxMIN: Joe Ryan • BOS: Nick Pivetta+115
L 7-0 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Clayton Kershaw • MIN: Chris Paddack+173
L 7-2 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Andrew Heaney • MIN: Chris Archer+136
W 0-4 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Chris Flexen • MIN: Dylan Bundy-126
W 4-10 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Marco Gonzales • MIN: Bailey Ober-138
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 8-4 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Joe Ryan • BOS: Nick Pivetta-118
W 9-7 at Detroit TigersBOS: Nathan Eovaldi • DET: Eduardo Rodriguez-131
W 5-3 at Detroit TigersBOS: Rich Hill • DET: Tyler Alexander-120
L 1-3 at Detroit TigersBOS: Michael Wacha • DET: Matt Manning-120
W 4-3 at New York YankeesBOS: Tanner Houck • NYY: Jordan Montgomery+130

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PJorge Alcala10-day IL
  • RFAlex Kirilloff10-day IL
  • CFByron BuxtonUnknown

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • 2BChristian ArroyoRest
  • PJosh Taylor10-day IL
  • PChris Sale60-day IL
SSW 13 mph
Fenway Park, Boston
WindO/U Effect
To CenterVery High on Over
 
Temp (°F)69°66°61°58°
Humidity41%48%57%63%
Precipitation3%4%4%7%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindSSW 13 mphSSW 13 mphSSW 13 mphSW 12 mph
Hunter Wendelstedt
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Home UmpireLean Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-105+122+128+130+128+128+130+133.2
Red Sox-105-145-138-140-138-138-138-133.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+105+128+126+130+134+140+140+133.2
Red Sox-115-138-138-140-146-150-138-133.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +131 to +124
Red Sox ML moved from -130 to -138

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Twins: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 70.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +130 to +120
Red Sox ML moved from -140 to -150

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-1½+150+1½-160+1½-160+1½-155+1½-160+1½-160+1½-155+1½-145
Red Sox+1½-170-1½+135-1½+140-1½+135-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+145
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-165+1½-155+1½-151+1½-160+1½-155+1½-155+1½-151+1½-145
Red Sox-1½+145-1½+135-1½+132-1½+140-1½+135-1½+135-1½+140-1½+145

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110o9½+100o9½+100o9½+100o9½+100o9½+100o9½+100o9½+109
Underu9½-110u9½-120u9½-120u9½-120u9½-120u9½-120u9½-120u9½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-115o9½-105o9½+105o9½-105o9½+100o9½+100o9½+105o9½+109
Underu9½-105u9½-115u9½-125u9½-115u9½-120u9½-120u9½-115u9½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-107 to o9½-120
The Under moved from u9½-113 to u9½-123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½-115 to u9½-125