Phillies vs Twins

Updated
Rank8
R/G4.5
RA/G4.4
49.0%51.0%
Phillies WinTwins Win
4.20Projected Runs 4.31
7Final Score 1
Rank24
R/G4.6
RA/G5.0
Rank8
R/G4.5
RA/G4.4
Rank24
R/G4.6
RA/G5.0

Pitching

Aaron Nola (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
243-95.471.45

Taj Bradley (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
239-43.761.25

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
L 1-7 at St. Louis CardinalsPHI: Zack Wheeler • STL: Kyle Leahy-160
L 0-2 at St. Louis CardinalsPHI: Cristopher Sánchez • STL: Andre Pallante-153
W 6-5 at St. Louis CardinalsPHI: Andrew Painter • STL: Hunter Dobbins-112
W 6-7 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Shane Bieber • PHI: Jesús Luzardo-220
L 7-5 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Max Scherzer • PHI: Aaron Nola-167
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 5-7 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Shane Baz • MIN: Zebby Matthews-105
L 5-2 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Brandon Young • MIN: Bailey Ober-110
W 5-9 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Trevor Rogers • MIN: Dean Kremer-105
L 3-4 at Milwaukee BrewersMIN: Connor Prielipp • MIL: Jacob Misiorowski+245
L 3-4 at Milwaukee BrewersMIN: Taj Bradley • MIL: Robert Gasser+130

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • CRafael Marchan10-day IL
  • PCaleb Kilian15-day IL
  • PBrad Keller60-day IL
  • PTanner Banks60-day IL

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PJoe Ryan15-day IL
  • PCole Sands60-day IL
  • CFByron BuxtonIn Lineup
  • PMick Abel60-day IL
  • PMike Paredes60-day IL
E 9 mph
Field of Dreams, Dyersville, IA
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)76°74°73°71°
Humidity78%83%87%90%
Precipitation29%37%40%18%
ConditionCloudyRainRainMostly Cloudy
WindE 9 mphE 8 mphE 7 mphE 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+106+101-104-107-106-107+101-101.9
Twins-117-110-116-103-104-103-103+101.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+105-105-109-109-105--105-101.9
Twins-115-105-103-106-105--103+101.9

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Phillies: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 70.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +100 to -103
Twins ML moved from -105 to -113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 0.0%
Twins: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +100 to -105
Twins ML moved from +100 to -105

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½+165-1½+158+1½-210+1½-220+1½-225+1½-220+1½-197
Twins+1½-195+1½-192-1½+175-1½+186-1½+185-1½+186-1½+197
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+1½+155+1½-210+1½-215+1½-210+1½-215-+1½-210+1½-197
Twins-1½-180-1½+180-1½+185-1½+175-1½+180--1½+185-1½+197

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-105o9+101o9+100o8½-124o8½-130o8½-124o9+101o8½-113
Underu10-115u9-114u9-120u8½+104u8½+110u8½+104u8½+110u8½+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o9-105o8½-125o8½-125o9-105-o8½-125o8½-113
Underu8½+100u9-115u8½+105u8½+105u9-115-u9-115u8½+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-118 to o8½-128
The Under moved from u9-119 to u9-128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-128 to o8½-139
The Under moved from u8½+118 to u8½+105