Red Sox at Orioles

Updated

Boston Red Sox

(20-19)
Rank17
R/G4.3
RA/G3.5
38.5%61.5%
Red Sox WinOrioles Win
3.19Projected Runs 4.40
6Final Score 1

Baltimore Orioles

(26-12)
Rank3
R/G5.2
RA/G3.7
Rank17
R/G4.3
RA/G3.5
Rank3
R/G5.2
RA/G3.7

Pitching

Tanner Houck (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
205-105.311.41

Kyle Bradish (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2912-72.861.05

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 2-5 at Baltimore OriolesBOS: Kutter Crawford • BAL: Kyle Gibson+122
W 3-0 at Baltimore OriolesBOS: Nick Pivetta • BAL: John Means-110
L 0-2 at Baltimore OriolesBOS: Chris Sale • BAL: Dean Kremer+110
L 5-0 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Tyler Glasnow • BOS: Brayan Bello+125
L 9-7 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Zach Eflin • BOS: Tanner Houck+110
Baltimore Orioles
Money Line
W 2-5 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Kutter Crawford • BAL: Kyle Gibson-127
L 3-0 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Nick Pivetta • BAL: John Means+113
W 0-2 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Chris Sale • BAL: Dean Kremer-112
W 1-5 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Patrick Corbin • BAL: Grayson Rodriguez-240
W 0-1 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Josiah Gray • BAL: Kyle Bradish-240

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PJames Paxton15-day IL
  • 1BTriston CasasOut for Season
  • 2BLuis Urias10-day IL
  • -Chris Martin15-day IL
  • PKenley JansenUnknown

Baltimore Orioles

Status
  • SSTerrin Vavra60-day IL
N 8 mph
Camden Yards, Baltimore
WindO/U Effect
From LeftModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)81°81°80°77°
Humidity48%48%49%55%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindN 8 mphN 8 mphN 7 mphN 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+153+149+141+149+147+149+149+154.3
Orioles-185-159-170-163-157-163-157-154.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+158+152+150+143+148+145+152+154.3
Orioles-190-165-165-170-162-170-162-154.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Orioles: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 50.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +144 to +138
Orioles ML moved from -164 to -175

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Orioles: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 50.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +158 to +143
No Steam Moves On Orioles ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-130+1½-138+1½-140+1½-139+1½-140+1½-139+1½-138+1½-127
Orioles-1½+110-1½+122-1½+120-1½+119-1½+120-1½+119-1½+122-1½+127
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-130+1½-140+1½-140+1½-145+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-127
Orioles-1½+110-1½+120-1½+122-1½+122-1½+120-1½+120-1½+122-1½+127

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o8½-103o8½-105o8-117o8½-105o8-117o8-117o8-106
Underu8-120u8½-113u8½-115u8-103u8½-115u8-103u8½-113u8+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-100o8½-105o8½-105o8-125o8-105o8½-105o8-105o8-106
Underu8-120u8½-115u8½-115u8+105u8-115u8½-115u8+105u8+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+110 to o8-117
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8½-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-125
No Steam Moves On Under
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