Red Sox at Orioles

Updated

Boston Red Sox

(21-19)
Rank15
R/G4.3
RA/G3.5
45.3%54.7%
Red Sox WinOrioles Win
3.91Projected Runs 4.41
0Final Score 2

Baltimore Orioles

(26-13)
Rank3
R/G5.1
RA/G3.8
Rank15
R/G4.3
RA/G3.5
Rank3
R/G5.1
RA/G3.8

Pitching

Chris Sale (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
196-44.421.147

Dean Kremer (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
3112-54.251.333

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 5-0 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Tyler Glasnow • BOS: Brayan Bello+125
L 9-7 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Zach Eflin • BOS: Tanner Houck+110
L 3-2 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Mike Clevinger • BOS: Kutter Crawford-155
L 1-0 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Dylan Cease • BOS: Nick Pivetta-145
W 2-3 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Touki Toussaint • BOS: Chris Sale-210
Baltimore Orioles
Money Line
W 1-5 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Patrick Corbin • BAL: Grayson Rodriguez-240
W 0-1 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Josiah Gray • BAL: Kyle Bradish-240
W 5-1 at Cleveland GuardiansBAL: Kyle Gibson • CLE: Triston McKenzie+100
W 2-1 at Cleveland GuardiansBAL: John Means • CLE: Cal Quantrill-124
L 8-9 at Cleveland GuardiansBAL: Dean Kremer • CLE: Shane Bieber+110

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • 1BTriston CasasOut for Season
  • CFAdam DuvallRest
  • -Chris Martin15-day IL
  • 2BLuis Urias10-day IL
  • PJames Paxton15-day IL
  • DHJustin TurnerRest
  • PKenley JansenUnknown

Baltimore Orioles

Status
  • SSTerrin Vavra60-day IL
  • CFCedric MullinsRest
  • 1BRyan MountcastleUnknown
  • 2BAdam FrazierRest
NE 8 mph
Camden Yards, Baltimore
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)67°66°65°64°
Humidity78%81%83%85%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindNE 8 mphNE 8 mphNE 8 mphNE 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+100+106+102+105+105+105+106+109.7
Orioles-120-114-122-115-115-115-114-109.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+118+102+103+110+110+102+110+109.7
Orioles-140-112-113-120-120-118-112-109.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Orioles: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +103 to -101
Orioles ML moved from -120 to -148

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Orioles: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 30.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +110 to +103
Orioles ML moved from -116 to -122

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+164+1½-193+1½-210+1½-205+1½-200+1½-205+1½-193+1½-185
Orioles+1½-200-1½+172-1½+175-1½+175-1½+170-1½+175-1½+175-1½+185
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-205+1½-210+1½-210+1½-210+1½-200+1½-210+1½-200+1½-185
Orioles-1½+170-1½+180-1½+184-1½+175-1½+175-1½+175-1½+184-1½+185

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-105o7½+102o7½+105o7½-102o7½+100o7½-102o7½+105o7½+107
Underu7-115u7½-118u7½-125u7½-118u7½-120u7½-118u7½-118u7½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+107
Underu7½-110u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-109 to o7½-115
The Under moved from u7½-110 to u7½-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-120
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