Red Sox at Astros

Updated
Rank14
R/G4.0
RA/G4.0
58.5%41.5%
Red Sox WinAstros Win
4.08Projected Runs 3.19
4Final Score 6
Rank24
R/G4.6
RA/G5.1
Rank14
R/G4.0
RA/G4.0
Rank24
R/G4.6
RA/G5.1

Pitching

Garrett Crochet (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-11.04.5

Mike Burrows (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
01-01.014.3

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 2-9 at Houston AstrosBOS: Brayan Bello • HOU: Hunter Brown+130
L 1-8 at Houston AstrosBOS: Ranger Suárez • HOU: Lance McCullers-126
L 2-3 at Cincinnati RedsBOS: Connelly Early • CIN: Rhett Lowder-128
L 5-6 at Cincinnati RedsBOS: Sonny Gray • CIN: Brady Singer-128
W 3-0 at Cincinnati RedsBOS: Garrett Crochet • CIN: Andrew Abbott-150
Houston Astros
Money Line
W 2-9 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Brayan Bello • HOU: Hunter Brown-136
W 1-8 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Ranger Suárez • HOU: Lance McCullers+120
W 7-9 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Jack Kochanowicz • HOU: Tatsuya Imai-165
W 9-11 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Reid Detmers • HOU: Cristian Javier-131
L 6-2 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Yusei Kikuchi • HOU: Mike Burrows-166

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • 1BTriston Casas10-day IL
  • PPatrick Sandoval15-day IL
  • PKutter Crawford15-day IL
  • PTanner Houck60-day IL
  • 2BAnthony Seigler10-day IL
  • 1BRomy Gonzalez60-day IL
  • CCarlos NarvaezRest

Houston Astros

Status
  • PRonel Blanco15-day IL
  • LFZach Dezenzo10-day IL
  • -Bennett Sousa15-day IL
  • -Josh Hader15-day IL
  • -Enyel De Los Santos15-day IL
  • -Nate Pearson15-day IL
  • PBrandon Walter60-day IL
  • PHayden Wesneski60-day IL
SSE 11 mph
Daikin Park, Houston, TX
WindO/U Effect
To CenterSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)82°79°78°77°
Humidity68%72%74%73%
Precipitation40%44%51%41%
ConditionCloudyThunderstormsThunderstormsThunderstorms
WindSSE 11 mphS 9 mphSSE 13 mphSSE 11 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-145-137-140-135-136-135-135-127.5
Astros+131+125+117+122+126+122+126+127.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-145-135-134-138-142-132-132-127.5
Astros+129+125+120+123+126+121+126+127.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -135 to -141
Astros ML moved from +127 to +121

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -140 to -150
Astros ML moved from +131 to +123

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+120-1½+135-1½+135-1½+133-1½+130-1½+133-1½+135-1½+141
Astros+1½-140+1½-149+1½-160+1½-153+1½-150+1½-153+1½-149+1½-141
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+120-1½+130-1½+132-1½+130-1½+130-1½+135-1½+135-1½+141
Astros+1½-140+1½-150+1½-152+1½-150+1½-150+1½-155+1½-150+1½-141

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o7-110o7-110o7-113o7-120o7-113o7-110o7-103
Underu8½-110u7-103u7-110u7-107u7+100u7-107u7+100u7+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½+100o7-120o7-115o7-115o7-115o7-115o7-115o7-103
Underu7½-120u7+100u7-105u7-105u7-105u7-105u7+100u7+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-115 to o7-125
The Under moved from u7+105 to u7-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7+100 to o7-115
The Under moved from u7½-120 to u7-105