Tigers at Guardians

Updated

Detroit Tigers

(14-10)
Rank16
R/G4.0
RA/G3.6
37.7%62.3%
Tigers WinGuardians Win
3.14Projected Runs 4.43
4Final Score 8

Cleveland Guardians

(17-6)
Rank10
R/G5.6
RA/G3.2
Rank16
R/G4.0
RA/G3.6
Rank10
R/G5.6
RA/G3.2

Pitching

Daniel Norris (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-45.971.442

Cal Quantrill (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
229-53.671.223

Last 5 Games

Detroit Tigers
Money Line
W 4-3 at Cleveland GuardiansDET: Garrett Hill • CLE: Zach Plesac+185
W 7-5 at Cleveland GuardiansDET: Bryan Garcia • CLE: Xzavion Curry+178
L 1-4 at Cleveland GuardiansDET: Drew Hutchison • CLE: Aaron Civale+205
L 3-5 at Chicago White SoxDET: Tyler Alexander • CHW: Lance Lynn+185
L 4-6 at Chicago White SoxDET: Matt Manning • CHW: Lucas Giolito+170
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 4-3 vs Detroit TigersDET: Garrett Hill • CLE: Zach Plesac-200
L 7-5 vs Detroit TigersDET: Bryan Garcia • CLE: Xzavion Curry-194
W 1-4 vs Detroit TigersDET: Drew Hutchison • CLE: Aaron Civale-212
W 7-2 at Toronto Blue JaysCLE: Shane Bieber • TOR: Kevin Gausman+139
L 1-2 at Toronto Blue JaysCLE: Triston McKenzie • TOR: Mitch White+111

Injuries

Detroit Tigers

Status
  • DHMiguel CabreraRest
  • PRony GarciaUnknown
  • PKyle FunkhouserOut for Season
  • PMichael PinedaUnknown
  • 3BJeimer CandelarioUnknown
  • CTucker BarnhartRest
  • PAlex FaedoOut for Season
  • LFWilli CastroUnknown
  • PBeau Brieske60-day IL
  • PTarik SkubalOut for Season

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • CAustin HedgesRest
  • 1BJosh NaylorUnknown
N 6 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)75°74°73°73°
Humidity69%70%71%70%
Precipitation3%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindN 6 mphNNE 5 mphNNE 5 mphNE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers+192+191+175+190+188+190+191+190.0
Guardians-210-211-215-208-208-208-208-190.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers+189+190+190+180+205+190+205+190.0
Guardians-210-220-210-220-230-210-210-190.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tigers: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tigers: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Tigers: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tigers: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tigers: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tigers ML moved from +188 to +177
Guardians ML moved from -195 to -203

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Tigers: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tigers: 30.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Tigers: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tigers: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tigers: 80.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tigers ML moved from +190 to +180
Guardians ML moved from -210 to -220

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers+1½-125+1½-108+1½-110+1½-110+1½-110+1½-110+1½-108+1½-104
Guardians-1½+105-1½-108-1½-110-1½-110-1½-110-1½-110-1½-108-1½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers+1½-115+1½+100+1½-110+1½-105+1½+100+1½-110+1½+100+1½-104
Guardians-1½-105-1½-120-1½-108-1½-115-1½-120-1½-110-1½-108-1½+104

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o7½+102o7½-105o7½-105o7½-105o7½-105o7½+102o7½+104
Underu8-110u7½-118u7½-115u7½-115u7½-115u7½-115u7½-115u7½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o7½-105o7½-105o7½-105o7½-105o7½-105o7½-105o7½+104
Underu8-115u7½-115u7½-115u7½-115u7½-115u7½-115u7½-115u7½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-122 to o7-130
The Under moved from u8-115 to u7½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+105 to o7½-105
The Under moved from u8-115 to u7½-115
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