Washington at Miami

Updated
53.8%
Projected Runs: 4.46
Final Score: 3

Patrick Corbin (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
92-54.11.443
Last 5 Games
Money Line
L 3-14 at Miami MarlinsWSN: Wil Crowe • MIA: Daniel Castano+121
W 5-0 at Miami MarlinsWSN: Erick Fedde • MIA: Sixto Sanchez+173
W 4-2 at Tampa Bay RaysWSN: Austin Voth • TBR: Pete Fairbanks+169
L 1-6 at Tampa Bay RaysWSN: Anibal Sanchez • TBR: John Curtiss+165
L 8-4 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Kyle Wright • WSN: Max Scherzer-162

Injuries

Status
  • PJavy Guerra10-day IL
  • PSean Doolittle10-day IL
  • RFAdam Eaton10-day IL
  • PSam FreemanOut for Season
  • PTanner Rainey10-day IL
  • PStephen StrasburgOut for Season
  • PDakota Bacus10-day IL
  • 2BHowie Kendrick10-day IL
46.2%
Projected Runs: 4.06
Final Score: 7

Pablo Lopez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
94-44.021.234
Last 5 Games
Money Line
W 3-14 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Wil Crowe • MIA: Daniel Castano-126
L 5-0 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Erick Fedde • MIA: Sixto Sanchez-185
L 5-3 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Nathan Eovaldi • MIA: Jose Urena+105
W 4-8 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Mike Kickham • MIA: Trevor Rogers-124
L 2-0 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Tanner Houck • MIA: Sandy Alcantara-150

Injuries

Status
  • CFrancisco Cervelli60-day IL
  • 2BIsan Diaz60-day IL
  • 2BLogan Forsythe60-day IL
  • PPat Venditte10-day IL
  • RFMagneuris Sierra10-day IL
  • PElieser HernandezOut for Season
  • PStephen Tarpley10-day IL
  • RFHarold Ramirez60-day IL
  • 2BJon Berti10-day IL
NE 6 mph
Marlins Park, Miami
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)87°85°84°84°
Humidity77%81%80%75%
Precipitation19%24%23%31%
ConditionHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Mostly CloudyRain and Humid
WindNE 6 mphENE 6 mphSSW 5 mphSSW 4 mph
Junior Valentine
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Washington-108+111+105+108+115+108+115
Miami-102-121-125-118-125-118-118
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Washington-105+111+110+110+115+111+115
Miami-105-121-120-120-125-121-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Washington: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Washington: 40.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Washington: 0.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Washington: 10.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Washington ML moved from +110 to +104
Miami ML moved from -111 to -117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Washington: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Washington: 40.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Washington: 0.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Washington: 10.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Washington ML moved from +117 to +111
Miami ML moved from -118 to -129

Run Lines

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Washington-1½+150+1½-210+1½-200+1½-195+1½-200+1½-195+1½-195
Miami+1½-170-1½+175-1½+170-1½+170-1½+170-1½+170-1½+175
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Washington-1½+150+1½-200+1½-192+1½-200+1½-200+1½-200+1½-192
Miami+1½-170-1½+175-1½+170-1½+175-1½+170-1½+175-1½+175

Over/Under Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Overo8-120o8-105o8+105o8+100o8+100o8+100o8+105
Underu8+100u8-115u8-125u8-120u8-120u8-120u8-115
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Overo8-115o7½-120o7½-120o8+105o7½-120o7½-115o8+105
Underu8-105u7½+100u7½+100u8-125u7½+100u7½-105u7½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u7½+100 to u7½-120