Boston at Miami

Updated
48.5%
Projected Runs: 5.34
Final Score: 4

Mike Kickham (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
11-05.01.556
Last 5 Games
Money Line
W 2-0 at Miami MarlinsBOS: Tanner Houck • MIA: Sandy Alcantara+149
W 6-3 at Tampa Bay RaysBOS: Martin Perez • TBR: Charlie Morton+186
L 4-5 at Tampa Bay RaysBOS: Nathan Eovaldi • TBR: Tyler Glasnow+190
L 1-11 at Tampa Bay RaysBOS: Andrew Triggs • TBR: Blake Snell+240
W 4-3 at Tampa Bay RaysBOS: Mike Kickham • TBR: Josh Fleming+179

Injuries

Status
  • PColten Brewer60-day IL
  • CFJackie Bradley Jr.Rest
  • PKyle Hart60-day IL
  • PZack Godley10-day IL
  • PAndrew Triggs10-day IL
  • PDarwinzon Hernandez10-day IL
  • PAustin Brice10-day IL
  • PJosh Taylor10-day IL
51.5%
Projected Runs: 5.50
Final Score: 8

Trevor Rogers (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
41-16.51.5
Last 5 Games
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Tanner Houck • MIA: Sandy Alcantara-150
W 2-6 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Vince Velasquez • MIA: Pablo Lopez-118
W 1-8 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Zach Eflin • MIA: Braxton Garrett+140
W 1-2 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Ramon Rosso • MIA: Sixto Sanchez-163
L 12-6 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Spencer Howard • MIA: Jose Urena+110

Injuries

Status
  • PPat Venditte10-day IL
  • LFCorey DickersonRest
  • PElieser HernandezOut for Season
  • CFrancisco Cervelli60-day IL
  • 2BLogan Forsythe60-day IL
  • CFStarling MarteRest
  • 2BJon Berti10-day IL
  • PStephen Tarpley10-day IL
  • 2BIsan Diaz60-day IL
  • RFMagneuris Sierra10-day IL
  • RFHarold Ramirez60-day IL
SE 10 mph
Marlins Park, Miami
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)85°84°83°83°
Humidity73%77%79%79%
Precipitation2%3%3%3%
ConditionHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Mostly Cloudy
WindSE 10 mphSSE 9 mphSSE 8 mphSSE 7 mph
Jansen Visconti
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Strong Home UmpireVery Strong Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Boston+139+117+108+113+120+113+120
Miami-150-127-128-123-130-123-123
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Boston+125+116+114+116+115+115+116
Miami-135-126-124-126-125-125-124

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Boston: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Boston: 30.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Boston: 0.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Boston: 20.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Boston ML moved from +115 to +108
Miami ML moved from -135 to -147

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Boston: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Boston: 30.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Boston: 0.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Boston: 0.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Boston ML moved from +121 to +115
Miami ML moved from -135 to -149

Run Lines

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Boston+1½-160+1½-165+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-165
Miami-1½+140-1½+145-1½+150-1½+150-1½+145-1½+150-1½+150
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Boston+1½-160+1½-160+1½-174+1½-175+1½-165+1½-165+1½-160
Miami-1½+140-1½+140-1½+154-1½+155-1½+145-1½+145-1½+155

Over/Under Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Overo9½-105o9+100o9-110o9-101o9+100o9-101o9+100
Underu9½-115u9-120u9-110u9-119u9-120u9-119u9-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Overo9-115o9+105o8½-115o9+105o9+100o9+105o8½-115
Underu9-105u9-125u8½-105u9-125u9-120u9-125u9-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-115 to o9-125
The Under moved from u9+100 to u9-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u9-120 to u8½-105